Is Bitcoin Repeating January? Why This Pullback Feels Different
$BTC Sunday update:
Is January's Price Action repeating now?
The reversal PA was almost identical at the highs since it's a common pattern for a pullback after reducing momentum.
However, the current situation is very different and it's unlikely PA repeats further:
In this stage of the market, with rate cuts very likely coming in September, this looks like a pullback before continuation.
In January we saw the 1D50EMA becoming resistance - I doubt we see that now.
I think a deviation below it to $110k support should likely hold well.
Liquidation data:
In the big picture, the liquidity is to the upside, especially in that $119k-120k cluster zone- although the main liquidation levels are at $118.5k and $116.2k.
Dropping to $110k would only increase the delta liquidations and add fuel to a short squeeze.
Overall, in my opinion, it's very likely that we see a strong bounce either from here (the 1D50EMA), or from $110k if it comes.
And it's very unlikely to continue repeating January's PA and have another 20% correction since the whole market structure and context has changed.
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