Altseason Signals Are Flashing—Are You Ready?

Now is the clearest bull setup in my 7 years in crypto:

- BTC near ATH
- Retail interest near ATL
- ETH/BTC broke 3y downtrend
- Alt index bounced off range low

EACH factor sparked altszn before. Now they ALL align.

🧵: Is this the start of next altszn? 👇

I can’t believe I’m saying this but I genuinely think we’re finally at the start of altseason.

In this mega-thread, I’ll break down:

- how crowd mindset shifted & why it’s bullish
- what has already changed and finally made altszn real
- key upcoming triggers
- top indicators & what they signal
- which alts are likely to pump
- how to build a proper altseason portfolio
- how to research projects that’ll run the hardest

1/➮ I've been in crypto for 7 years and have seen dozens of setups that triggered altszns

Yes, cycles have shifted a bit - I broke down how and why in the quoted thread

However I believe we’re at beginning of more sustained altszn, and it doesn’t require BTC pumping to $150K:

2/➮ Narrative around BTC has fundamentally changed:

✧ From being seen as a Ponzi - to:

- a top-tier investment asset
- a macro hedge
- 6th largest asset by market cap (plus S&P backing)
- strong hedge against inflation
- #1 bet for countries facing isolation or high inflation

3/➮ BTC pump from here is no longer a requirement for altseason to start.

BTC pumps will be smaller in %, just like the dumps - that’s how it works when cap scales up.

Each year, BTC becomes more of a store-of-value asset - not a speculative one.

That’s what altcoins are for

4/➮ High cap Altcoins, especially blockchains are no longer seen as "Bitcoin alternatives."

They’re now understood as tech companies operating within the broader BTC ecosystem.

Ethereum = like Nvidia
Solana = like high-performance infra

And so on

This shift in perception happened in past cycles too - and every time, it marked the start of an altseason.

5/➮ Now let’s talk about what actually changed - and finally made altseason possible:

After the Pectra upgrade, Ethereum pumped and broke the 3-year ETH/BTC downtrend.

Every fudder turned into a believer.

BTC dominance just saw its sharpest 3-day drop since Nov '24.

Alts hit peak disbelief - retail interest is at ATL, even after this mini-pump.

In my view, Pectra upgrade changed the game.

It also solved the biggest blocker for ETH-driven altseasons: the UI/UX layer.

You can read more about that in this thread:

https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1920143154134548931

6/➮ Retail Index

✧ Despite such massive mass adoption, the retail index is currently near ATL

✧ This has previously been a key factor at the beginning of past altseasons

✧ Now, it's once again acting as a positive signal

Let me explain more:

7/➮ It’s important to understand a simple truth:

✧ Assets top when they look absolutely best, and bottom when there’s seemingly no worse situation

✧ Alts are still in a terrible state, and from here, the only way out is up

Upside triggers for eth & other alts? MANY. 

Downside triggers? 0, disbelief is maxed out.

Even after 2x from the bottom the retail is not here. 

So finally it feels like a moment when alts can do another 10x, even after 4x.

8/➮ ETH/BTC chart

✧ ETH/BTC had been in a downtrend for 5 months, which negatively impacted ETH

✧ Both its price and interest declined, making it harder for alts to rise

✧ Now it has been broken, ETH has pumped, sending strong signals for alts to grow

9/➮ Now let's check some indicators that matter, such as:

- global liquidity
- stablecoin index
- altseason index

✧ They ALL signal a potential reversal and inflow of liquidity into crypto, suggesting altseason

But this altseason will look different 👇

9/➮ Last cycle, there were fewer alts - almost everything pumped.

✧ This time it's different: massive oversupply makes it impossible for all alts to run

✧ Likely <10% will see big moves

✧ The key is finding those

Let’s break down how to identify them:

10/➮ Let’s start with this: 

Your choice depends on the level of risk you're willing to take and how much profit you aim to make:

1) High caps = low profit + low risk
2) Mid caps = medium profit + medium risk
3) Low caps = high profit + high risk

11/➮ Researching Right Alts

If it's highcap/utility coin, not fresh meme - best to look on: @coingecko

✧ This approach lowers the chance of running into scams

Analyze coins based on:

- Mc
- Liquidity
- Volume
- Listings on CEXs and DEXs

Create a list of the alts you like

12/➮ Follow trusted influencers (like me @nobrainflip 😁) and check if they follow or mention the project.

If you're followed to many infls and none of them follow the project - it's probably garbage.

Here's my list of the best crypto influencers:
https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1769836278848127257

13/➮ Analyzing the Projects

✧ Move on to detailed research of the alts from your list

Check:

1) What’s the project’s idea and is there a demand
2) Product quality, explore the website, socials
3) Are team members public? Who are they and what’s their background?

Here’s a more detailed thread on how to build and manage a portfolio for this cycle - and how to actually pick the right alts.
https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1859935394667938180

Here’s my detailed thread on finding 100x memes - the game works very differently there:
https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1858655216054206821

And last the one on how to trade (ultimate-guide):
https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1902784518794146080

14/➮ Patience + Conviction = 100x

✧ Profits like 100x don’t happen in a day or even within a week or month

✧ With deep research, you identify a project with such potential and hold it long-term

✧ At the same time, following the project's development, updates, and activity

15/➮ Most important:

Don’t hold too many coins.
Don’t buy with borrowed conviction.

Here’s why:

How to stay poor:
Hold 100 coins and keep rotating instead of sticking to <10 alts you truly understand and believe in.
Holding everything means believing in nothing.
Believe in something.

16/➮ Conclusion

✧ Most indicators are clearly signaling an upcoming altseason, and what’s left is to prepare properly

✧ Remember: if you believe in everything, you believe in nothing

✧ Don’t pick dozens of projects, choose up to 5, but do it carefully

✧ Only this way can you find those <10% alts which can make 100x+ gains

17/➮ And if that’s not enough - just check this pic

0/30 bull market peak indicators triggered

Weird, right?