$BTC Sunday Update: Liquidity, Price Action, and Potential Manipulation
CrypNuevo
$BTC Sunday update:
Tariffs chaos and manipulation aside, there are some conclusive ideas and data to know and to be aware of this week.
Let's focus on the liquidity and potential Price Action for the upcoming volatile days. More action incoming...

Liquidations:
Mainly located to the upside in that $90k-$91.5k (psychological level) 👀
Only adding this chart because the liquidation delta is not too unbalanced, currently 15B longs in max. liquidity setting, so not too high at least for now. Over 25B would get my attention.

My ideal scenario for this week is something like this:
Compression between the 1D50EMA and 1W50EMA leads to expansion.
We got 2 retests of the 1W50EMA that reassures me of its strength. Perhaps it's time to start thinking of a potential breakout/shift out the zone.

Could we get a third retest? Why not!
Market often moves in threes (three taps patterrn) and it would even compress price more, leading to a more aggresive move later.
It depends on that yellow line as the mid range and local support. Slightly less likely maybe, but I like it.

Last week's plan ended up playing out even with all the news, chaos and volatility 🔨
I think news are very often only used to manipulate price action in the way they want. So, sometimes it's just better to project that potential manipulation in order to position yourself well.


A sweeping narrative ties Jane Street to India’s expiry-day options case, alleged 10AM Bitcoin sell patterns, Terra’s collapse, and ETF plumbing. While none prove misconduct, critics argue a common structure: move spot, monetize derivatives, keep execution opaque.
Bull Theory/2 days ago
A controversial narrative links Jane Street, ETF mechanics, and Bitcoin’s price behavior, pointing to lawsuit allegations, 10AM volatility patterns, and derivative hedging dynamics. The discussion raises broader questions about liquidity, structure, and price discovery.
Justin Bechler/3 days ago
A new federal lawsuit alleges Jane Street exploited non-public information tied to Terraform’s liquidity defenses, accelerating UST’s depeg and the Terra collapse. The firm denies the claims. The case may reignite debates on structure, design, and regulation.
Diana/4 days ago
Mean reversion and on-chain models sit at levels historically linked to bottom formation after capitulation. Realized losses reached record USD values, while deviations from anchor models remain extreme. Price pain may be fading; patience remains key.
Checkmate/4 days ago
Bitcoin didn’t fail as an asset — it matured into an ETF-driven trade. As institutional ownership rose, correlation with tech risk intensified. Short-term pressure reflects holder structure shifts, not thesis collapse.
Eric Jackson/5 days ago
This weekly report frames Bitcoin within a six-stage bear market model. With BTC in Stage 4, price stagnation drives exhaustion and weak-hand selling while liquidity builds. The harshest mechanical drop may be over, but fear and capitulation likely remain ahead.
Doctor Profit/6 days ago
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