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Bitcoin (BTC) — Onchain News & Whale Tracking

Real-time Bitcoin whale movements, exchange flows and onchain findings tracked by Lookonchain. 8425 updates and counting.

2026.08.13 23:10

Garrett Jin: SK Hynix has rebounded to the take-profit zone, plans to buy Bitcoin on its pullback, and cautions to watch out for remaining share unlocks following SpaceX's short squeeze.

BTC OG and insider whale Garrett Jin released this week’s market report, characterizing South Korea’s market rebound as a wide-range consolidation rather than a new trend. SK Hynix retested the 1.42 million won level before a consecutive rebound, closing up 5.9% at 1,593,000 won on August 13. The KOSPI has rallied 20% from its July low to enter a technical bull market, but foreign investors have not shifted to long-term holdings, and the drag from leveraged ETFs remains. Garrett Jin set the first take-profit level at $1,150 (≈1.63 million won), with the next target at $1,300 (1.85 million won. Garrett Jin also noted that gold posted its strongest weekly gain since January this week, rising 7.8% to $4,388. The rally was driven by July’s non-farm payrolls falling by 23,000 and moderate CPI data, which pushed back bets on a September rate hike. However, gold is now overbought in the short term, so a pullback would present an opportunity to add positions in batches. Bitcoin failed to react to the same macro tailwinds, remaining trapped between the $62,500 support and $65,000-$70,000 resistance. A bottoming structure since the $57,700 level is gradually forming, and Garrett Jin will wait for a pullback to enter the next buying round. On SpaceX, Garrett Jin views its recent performance as a classic case of “bad news fully priced in + short squeeze”, with the lock-up period itself acting as a washout rather than a starting point for a decline. However, the lock-up window is not over: 319 million shares will unlock on August 20, and another ~700 million shares each in September and October. The current price up to $160 is a take-profit zone, not a zone for chasing highs.

2026.08.13 20:10

Michael Saylor proposes the "Currency Spectrum" framework for digital assets, categorizing them as: Bitcoin as digital capital, STRC as digital credit, and stablecoins as digital currency.

Strategy founder Michael Saylor has published an article systematically elaborating on the "currency spectrum" concept for digital assets, categorizing digital assets into four tiers: Bitcoin as digital capital, STRC as digital credit, SR-strcUSX as digital currency, and USDT as digital currency substitute. On this spectrum, moving from left to right, volatility and return potential gradually decline, while stability and transaction utility rise progressively. Saylor defines Bitcoin as the ultimate store of value: highly volatile, high-energy, and a sound bearer asset. USDT, meanwhile, is the ultimate medium of exchange—stable and easy to transact. Digital credit and digital currency serve as bridges between capital and currency. Saylor further detailed the attributes of each tier: STRC, as digital credit, is semi-stable, offers high fixed yields, and has store-of-value features. SR-strcUSX, as a digital currency, combines the technology of digital currency substitutes and the economic characteristics of digital capital, integrating stability, yield, transaction utility, and store-of-value functions. In terms of ownership structure, Bitcoin is a bearer asset, while digital credit, digital currency, and digital currency substitutes are created and managed by digital financial firms, with their ownership layer being digital equity. Together, they form a complete digital financial stack. This framework extends Saylor’s long-standing strategic vision of building a "Bitcoin + digital financial tools" ecosystem, integrating various securitized products issued by Strategy into a unified theoretical narrative.

2026.08.13 11:55

Glassnode: Bitcoin enters the late bear market compression phase, but real demand signals have not yet emerged.

Glassnode’s market analysis notes that Bitcoin is currently trading between its median realized price (~$63,000) and short-term holder cost basis (~$68,700). Spot trading volume has hit its lowest level since 2019, leaving the market in an extremely quiet, compressed state. Despite core inflation falling to 2.5% in July and stocks hitting new highs, Bitcoin has barely reacted, even weakening, indicating a clear lack of demand. On the other hand, selling pressure is easing: profitable supply is approaching levels seen in past bear market bottoms, the seller exhaustion metric has hit a cycle low, and the adjusted SOPR has been rejected near the break-even line nine times. Meanwhile, buyers remain absent: ETF net inflows are minimal, and coins continue flowing into exchanges. Yet derivatives leverage has already positioned heavily for longs in advance, open interest is high relative to volume, and order book buy orders are thinning. Glassnode identifies key levels at $68,700 on the upside and ~$58,500 on the downside: a sustained break above the former, paired with a rebound in volume and ETF inflows, would confirm a market improvement; a break below the latter could trigger accelerated declines amid thin buy orders and crowded long positions. Overall, Glassnode remains cautious, describing the current state as a late bear market compression phase, with no clear signs of genuine demand emerging yet.

2026.08.13 10:00

BIP-110 fails, activation prospects of Bitcoin soft fork proposal BIP-54 blocked.

BIP-54, officially named "Consensus Cleanup", proposes four limited modifications to Bitcoin’s core rules. The proposal aims to fix old vulnerabilities and unusual edge cases, rather than adding new use cases for Bitcoin. Supporters emphasize this distinction is critical: it serves as preventive maintenance for a network now worth far more than when many of its underlying rules were established. F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun stated he does not support the proposal. He explained that if BIP-54 secures the required majority via the standard BIP-9 activation process, F2Pool will update its mining nodes, though the pool will not issue advance support signals. Wang Chun’s objections center primarily on process and priority. He argues that bundling the four changes together is akin to tying unrelated measures into a single bill. He contends that several of the risks are too remote to justify the coordination, software upgrades, and community attention required for a soft fork, which modifies Bitcoin’s rules in a way older software may not enforce. Supporters hold a different view on the bundling approach. They argue every consensus change carries high social costs, so combining multiple defensive fixes reduces the number of full-network hard activations needed. They also note that Bitcoin’s rising value gives attackers greater incentive to exploit weaknesses that once seemed purely theoretical.

2026.08.13 07:35

CPI slows as expected, dimming Fed rate hike bets; AI stocks surge, Bitcoin edges lower.

According to BIT (bit.com) market data, the as-expected slowdown in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has dampened expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed: the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.04%, the Nasdaq rose 0.54%, and the S&P 500 gained 0.26%. Nvidia climbed 3.03% to close at $224.09, its highest closing price since June 2. Overnight in pre-market trading, Goldman Sachs maintained its "Buy" rating on Nvidia with a $285 target price. SpaceX jumped 9.65% as the company announced the launch of Grok 4.6 during the session. AI-related stocks surged across sectors: In the memory chip segment, SK Hynix rose over 9%, SanDisk gained more than 5%, Western Digital advanced over 3%, Seagate climbed over 7%, and Micron Technology rose over 4%. For optical communications and photonics products, Lumentum surged over 13%, Coherent gained more than 8%, and Corning rose over 5%. In the semiconductor equipment space, Applied Materials climbed over 4%, Lam Research advanced over 4%, and KLA rose over 3%. Among next-generation AI cloud service providers, Nebius jumped over 34% and CoreWeave surged more than 19%. Turning to the Middle East situation: Former U.S. President Trump stated that the U.S. has full control over the Strait of Hormuz. A spokesperson for Iran’s Revolutionary Guard responded that if Iran faces another threat, hundreds of thousands of miles of energy transmission lines, thousands of power plants, all U.S. and non-U.S. facilities, and even global infrastructure connected to the internet will be targeted. According to HTX market data, Bitcoin edged down 0.19% in the past 24 hours, trading at $63,423.

2026.08.12 17:14

Analysis: Selling pressure from listed mining firms is an overlooked factor weighing on Bitcoin’s price; these companies have sold $1.78 billion worth of BTC this year.

Bitcoin has fallen roughly 27% year-to-date, with its price retreating below $64,000. In addition to over $4.4 billion in net outflows from U.S. spot crypto ETFs, sales by long-dormant holders and digital asset treasury firms, listed Bitcoin miners have emerged as a less-discussed supply source in the market. According to Blockware Intelligence data, listed miners held a combined ~127,000 BTC at the start of the year, a figure that has since dropped to 99,000 BTC. This translates to roughly 28,000 BTC sold year-to-date, worth around $1.78 billion at current prices. Blockware Solutions’ research team noted: “The sales by listed miners since the start of the year are an underdiscussed factor weighing on Bitcoin’s weak price performance in 2026.” Miners’ profitability is also under pressure, with the average cost to mine one BTC standing at roughly $74,300. A growing number of miners are shifting to AI operations, leveraging the high-voltage power resources they have secured to support this transition. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s mining difficulty has dropped roughly 18% from its November peak, with the decline in hash rate marking one of the longest such stretches on record. Blockware stated that competition has eased following the exit of large miners, and active operators are now earning roughly 18% more BTC than they were 10 months ago, leading to improved mining economics.

2026.08.12 15:50

Analyst: Bitcoin volatility has fallen to near its lowest level in the past two years, and the market may be brewing sharp fluctuations.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. wrote in a post that Bitcoin’s current volatility has compressed to an extremely low level, with no clear market direction emerging for now. The Bollinger Band width is currently around 3.8% to 3.9%, one of the lowest levels in the past two years, compared to double-digit levels in early July. He noted that a sharp contraction of the Bollinger Bands typically signals the market entering a consolidation phase before volatility expansion, though the indicator alone cannot determine the direction of the next price move. In terms of trend strength, Bitcoin’s Average Directional Index (ADX) has dropped to 11, near recent lows and well below the 25 threshold his model uses to confirm a trend. The TrendActive indicator remains inactive, with neither bullish nor bearish signals triggered; the last directional signal in early July was bearish, but the current market structure no longer supports that signal. Adler stated that for the market to enter a new trend phase, the Bollinger Band width needs to expand again from its current compressed state, alongside the ADX breaking above 25. The direction can then be judged based on the relationship between the Positive Directional Indicator (+DI) and Negative Directional Indicator (-DI): if either leads by more than 5 points, a corresponding bullish or bearish signal may be triggered. He believes Bitcoin is still in a consolidation phase, with low volatility and trend strength, and the risk of short-term false breakouts remains. The current structure increases the likelihood of significant volatility expansion ahead, but it is still impossible to determine whether the price will eventually break out upward or downward.

2026.08.11 08:50

Strategy CEO: Bitcoin alone fails to meet investor demands, leading the firm to adjust its strategy to build up cash reserves.

Strategy CEO Phong Le stated that the company currently holds $4.75 billion in cash reserves, sufficient to cover roughly 2.7 years of dividend payments. He added that while the firm had previously expected investors to highly value Bitcoin’s liquidity and long-term growth potential, after rolling out preferred stock products, it found institutional and short-term capital investors still prioritize cash liquidity. Strategy is transitioning from solely buying and holding Bitcoin to a broader digital credit business. The company has launched preferred stock products including STRC, providing an option for investors seeking Bitcoin-related returns while wanting to mitigate volatility. Le noted that though he would personally prefer holding Bitcoin, the successful operation of these preferred stock products will ultimately benefit MSTR and the company’s Bitcoin strategy. Le also said Strategy aims to become “the JPMorgan of digital finance,” envisioning that other firms could eventually develop new investment tools based on Strategy’s financial products, decentralized finance (DeFi) could further expand into various risk and return profiles, and channel more capital into Bitcoin. Currently, Strategy holds around 840,000 BTC, equivalent to roughly 4% of Bitcoin’s total 21 million token supply. Le remarked: “We have now become a bellwether and also the central bank of Bitcoin.” Furthermore, the company’s traditional software business remains on an upward trajectory, with software revenue rising 7% year-over-year and cloud subscription revenue growing 54%.

2026.08.11 08:39

BlackRock: Bitcoin market sentiment is shifting, with a gradual decoupling trend from U.S. stocks emerging.

BlackRock’s Head of Digital Assets, Robert Mitchnick, said Bitcoin market sentiment has seen a “clear yet subtle” shift over the past month or so. Earlier this year, Bitcoin gradually decoupled from U.S. equities; prior to that, BTC had underperformed amid a rally in AI stocks, a decoupling that was once unfavorable for Bitcoin. Mitchnick noted that when AI stocks saw a sharp pullback in July, Bitcoin outperformed U.S. equities significantly. He views this decoupling as healthy, as many investors see Bitcoin as a diversification tool in portfolios and a potential hedge against tail risks facing other assets. He added that Bitcoin ETF investors as a whole remain dominated by fundamental-driven, long-term capital. In terms of fund flows, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for five consecutive trading days last week, totaling around $853.5 million, marking their best weekly performance since mid-April. Of this total, BlackRock’s IBIT saw net inflows of $693.7 million, accounting for over 80% of all spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows; Fidelity’s related ETFs recorded net inflows of $116.4 million, making up around 13% of the total. Mitchnick said Bitcoin has historically been highly volatile, having gone through five major boom-and-bust cycles so far, with prices at the end of each cycle significantly higher than the previous one, though the process is marked by extreme volatility.

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