US stock sell-off drives funds to shift to US Treasuries, with traders betting on further declines in yields.
10 minutes ago
Ahead of the release of the U.S. October jobs report on Friday, bond traders have bet the U.S. Treasury market will rise further, while expectations for the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates have continued to cool. Global stock markets sold off after the U.S. midterm elections, driving investors to shift to U.S. Treasuries for safe-haven flows this week. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to its lowest level since early September on Thursday. As stock market sell-offs intensified, the 10-year yield stood at 4.82% on Friday. Recent gains in the bond market have boosted traders’ confidence that yields will decline further. One options market trade bets the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield could drop to 4.7% by the end of next week; another trade set to expire on November 20 bets the yield will fall to around 4.35%. Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities, said the data due Friday is expected to come in slightly soft, but the market remains focused on economic fundamentals. He noted that the U.S. economy remains quite strong, with the labor market showing a pattern of "low hiring, low layoffs", so the market has sharply scaled back interest rate hike expectations over the past few weeks.
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