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CoinGecko: On-Chain Pre-IPO Perpetual Contract Market Becomes Effective Valuation Metric

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In its latest Real World Assets (RWA) report, CoinGecko notes that the synthetic pre-IPO market has emerged as an effective valuation indicator for traditional IPOs. On-chain perpetual contracts can provide continuous price discovery and market sentiment anchors for high-profile private companies ahead of their official exchange listings. The report cites SpaceX and ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) as examples: Ahead of SpaceX’s listing, perpetual contract prices across platforms fluctuated between $158 and $170 before gradually converging to around $157.40. When its first trade on Nasdaq hit $150.05, the price gap was approximately 4.9%. The deviation between CXMT’s pre-listing perpetual contract prices and its actual opening price was also around 4.6%. CoinGecko argues that even without real spot stocks serving as immediate arbitrage anchors, traders still form relatively concentrated quotes based on valuation, listing hype, and future liquidity. As a result, on-chain pre-IPO perpetual contracts will become an important reference price before traditional order books open, while also offering global investors a 24-hour channel to express bullish or bearish expectations.

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CoinGecko: On-chain Pre-IPO Perpetual Contract Market Becomes Effective Valuation Metric

CoinGecko, in the RWA report *Tokenized Stocks: Insights from SpaceX, Pre-IPO Price Discovery, and the Perpetual Contract Boom* co-produced with Chinese crypto media BlockBeats, noted that the synthetic pre-IPO market has emerged as an effective valuation indicator for traditional IPOs. On-chain perpetual contracts can deliver continuous price discovery and market sentiment anchors for high-profile private companies ahead of their official exchange listings. The report cites SpaceX and ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) as examples: Ahead of SpaceX’s listing, perpetual contract prices across platforms fluctuated between $158 and $170 before gradually converging to around $157.40. When its first trade on Nasdaq hit $150.05, the gap stood at roughly 4.9%. The deviation between CXMT’s pre-IPO perpetual contract prices and its actual opening price was also approximately 4.6%. CoinGecko argues that even without real spot stocks to serve as immediate arbitrage anchors, traders will still form relatively concentrated quotes based on valuation, listing hype, and future liquidity. As such, on-chain pre-IPO perpetual contracts will become a key reference price before traditional order books open, while offering global investors a 24-hour channel to express bullish and bearish expectations.

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