JPMorgan Chase CEO: Investors are underestimating market risks, and he will not buy stocks or long-term U.S. Treasuries at present.
9 hours ago
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said investors are underestimating the geopolitical and fiscal risks facing the global economy, and at current prices, he would not buy the overall stock market nor long-term U.S. Treasuries. Dimon noted that the Russia-Ukraine war, Middle East conflicts, strained China-U.S. relations, and rising military spending amid expanding government deficits could eventually hit markets. While the global economy is more resilient due to reduced energy dependence, this does not rule out sudden market downturns. Persistently large U.S. fiscal deficits could eventually push up interest rates, as bond investors will demand higher returns to hold government debt. He added that even if inflation falls to the Fed’s 2% target, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield could stay between 4% and 4.5%, leaving limited upside for long-term Treasury prices. On stocks, Dimon said he would consider buying individual high-quality stocks, but not the broader market at current valuations. The S&P 500 has risen nearly 10% so far this year. Turning to AI, Dimon compared the current investment boom to the early days of the internet. He believes massive AI spending could ultimately pay off overall, just like the internet, but the returns and timeline will “definitely not be as people expect”. He pointed out that early internet-era giants like Yahoo and Netscape later faded, while eventual winners like Google and Facebook emerged later.
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