Bull Market Peak? 0 of 30 Indicators Have Flashed — Here’s What to Watch

0 out of 30 Bull Market Peak Indicators have hit so far
1/➮ Crypto is always cyclical, yet only a few make a profit, while the majority lose
✧ I’ve been here for 8 years, 3 cycles, making $6.5M starting with $0
✧ Thanks to crypto’s repetitive nature, I’ve seen the same plays dozens of times
That's what I use to profit:
2/➮ Every cycle, 99% of ppl fall into the same traps, manipulations, not realizing it.
✧ But some indicators have consistently pointed to the exact (or almost exact) peak of each cycle
I split them into 2 groups:
- Technical indicators
- Crowd indicators
Let’s dive in👇
3/➮ Everyone is euphorically bullish
First pumps many are still skeptical about the market, with no retail in
✧ But as the bull run progresses, fewer ppl like this remain - most turn into blindly "believers in a miracle"
Once everyone is like that, we’re close to the end
4/➮ Worldwide adoption
✧ Right now, this indicator works worse since crypto is already in the news daily
✧ But once it starts popping up on things like Jimmy Fallon–type shows, we’re cooked.
✧ At that moment, the end of the cycle is close.
5/➮ Composite Business Cycle Indicator
✧ The BCI blends leading, coincident, and lagging indexes into one measure
✧ It pulls together key economic data to forecast where we are in the cycle
✧ Historically, it rises above 50 right before market peaks
6/➮ Positive news & No growth
✧ There comes a point when sentiment is bullish, news is bullish - but price isn’t moving up.
✧ The market drifts lower despite the overall optimism,
✧ While bad news hits it 5x harder (sign of weakness)
7/➮ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
✧ Tracks the relationship between 2 moving averages - the 26-day EMA and the 12-day EMA
✧ The MACD line shows how these EMAs converge or diverge, signaling momentum shifts in price
8/➮ Broken Uptrend
✧ A clear signal is when the HTF uptrend breaks - price starts making lower highs and lower lows.
✧ It could be just a consolidation or correction, but if it aligns with other factors, it’s the end.
9/➮ Pi Cycle Top Indicator
✧ Designed to forecast Bitcoin market tops using two special moving averages: 111DMA and 350DMA × 2
✧ A top signal occurs when the 111DMA crosses above the 350DMA × 2
10/➮ Coinbase App Indicator
✧ Crypto apps can reveal retail activity - for example, tracking Coinbase’s US App Store rank.
✧ If it hits #1, it’s a strong signal to start taking profits - retail is already here, and that’s usually the last phase of the bull run.
11/➮ RSI (Relative Strength Index)
✧ A momentum oscillator that gauges the strength and speed of price movements
✧ Readings above 90 often signal the market’s final phase, typically ~8 weeks before the peak
✧ Frequently shows bearish divergence - RSI drops while price continues rising
12/➮ Profit Flexing + Quitting Jobs
✧ When CT is flooded with profit screenshots, ppl quitting jobs, buying watches, and partying
✧ It’s a clear sign of extreme greed.
✧ And as they say: “Buy the fear, sell the greed.”
13/➮ These are just rough indicators that can hint at the potential peak of this cycle.
But the actual exit depends on many factors:
- Your portfolio size
- How heavily you’re positioned in the market
- The level of risk you’re willing to take
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