Apple emerges as a safe haven amid the AI sell-off; Bernstein says its 37x P/E ratio is still not expensive.
1 days ago
Bernstein’s research report notes that Apple, due to its low capital expenditure and limited reliance on AI servers, has been viewed as a "safe haven" for tech stocks amid the recent sell-off of AI-related equities. Even though its fiscal 2027 forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has climbed to a record high of 37x, and its valuation multiple relative to the S&P 500 index has also reached a historical peak of 2x, Bernstein still maintains an "Outperform" rating on Apple with a $380 target price. The firm points out that Apple’s capital expenditure accounts for only around 2% of its revenue. By collaborating with Google to develop foundational models and advancing on-device AI, Apple has reduced its dependence on expensive data centers and AI servers, making it less vulnerable to a slowdown in AI infrastructure investment. The report adds that Apple is gradually moving away from the valuation framework of large tech stocks, instead being regarded by the market as a defensive asset with stable cash flow and high customer loyalty. Apple has approximately 1.4 billion active iPhone users, a brand retention rate of around 90%, its services business contributes roughly 40% of gross profit, and it has exceeded market consensus earnings per share in 40 out of the past 44 quarters. In fiscal 2026, Apple returned about $102 billion to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends. Bernstein argues that Apple’s demand visibility, pricing power, cash flow, and consistent shareholder returns are sufficient to justify its valuation premium, making a 37x P/E ratio not unreasonable.
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