The probability that Anthropic will announce an IPO before December has fallen to 57%, down from nearly 90% previously.
13 minutes ago
According to CNBC, the probability that AI firm Anthropic will announce an IPO by December 1 on prediction market Kalshi has dropped from nearly 90% to 57% over the past week. The probability of it announcing an IPO by January 1, 2027, also fell from over 88% to 68%. The related contracts bet on the exact timing of the company’s official IPO announcement, with results verified by news media reports. Anthropic confidentially submitted its IPO prospectus to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in June this year. The recent downward adjustment in prediction odds comes after Democrats won control of both chambers of Congress and key gubernatorial races in multiple U.S. states, paired with a sell-off in AI-related stocks. Investors are concerned that data center construction may slow, reducing the appeal of AI investments. Texas’ incoming governor Gina Hinojosa campaigned on advocating stricter regulations for data center expansions. She defeated three-term Republican incumbent Greg Abbott, and told CNN in an interview Thursday: “We will enact laws to protect Texans. Until these safeguards are in place, we need to halt current data center-related work.” Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite closed over 10% below its recent high on Thursday, entering a technical correction range. As of press time Friday, the Nasdaq was up 1.3% and the S&P 500 rose 0.7%; Nvidia and Micron each gained around 4%, though the stocks still posted notable losses over the past week.
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