Analysis: New positions piling up on both long and short sides in BTC’s spot market, increased volatility may be imminent.
4 days ago
Market analyst Murphy noted that yesterday’s market dip appears to have been driven by tokens pre-deposited on trading platforms, which pressured the market amid low weekend liquidity. Notably, there is no on-chain sentiment signal at all right now. Bitcoin’s entity-based realized losses have not risen—they’ve actually declined. A key factor here is that the dip occurred over the weekend; institutional players like market makers and hedge funds will not adjust their positions until Monday, so yesterday’s short-term pullback can be simply attributed to tokens held on trading platforms. Since October 14, open interest in perpetual contracts has continued to accumulate, with no deleveraging taking place during each market pullback, and yesterday’s dip also failed to trigger deleveraging. New positions are currently building up on both the long and short sides of the market, so a significant volatility spike is likely ahead. We will monitor which side gets liquidated first.
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