Hormuz Strait crisis drives up global crude oil transportation costs, with shipping rates surging from $3 per barrel to over $20 per barrel.
53 minutes ago
Goldman Sachs report shows that the global average crude oil transportation cost has risen from roughly $3 per barrel a year ago to over $20, with major Middle East routes exceeding $35 per barrel. War risks stemming from the Strait of Hormuz crisis, ship-to-ship transfers, rising bunker fuel costs, and declining tanker scheduling efficiency are jointly driving up crude oil transportation expenses, creating a new round of energy price pressure. Goldman Sachs estimates that the Strait of Hormuz war risk premium adds around $7 per barrel to transportation costs, ship-to-ship transfers add $4, rising bunker fuel costs add $4, reduced tanker scheduling efficiency and route diversions add $3, and the lower availability of Iranian tankers contributes another $2. The surge in transportation costs has also widened regional crude oil spreads: the gap between Brent crude and WTI crude recently hit around $14 per barrel, significantly higher than the usual level of roughly $5. Goldman Sachs notes that Asian refiners are particularly vulnerable, with some European refiners already cutting crude oil imports and processing volumes. The bank forecasts Brent crude prices will fall back to around $90 per barrel by the end of this year, and average $80 per barrel in 2027. However, if transportation, insurance, and refining costs stay elevated, even with benchmark crude prices declining, product prices like gasoline and diesel may remain high, further intensifying energy inflationary pressure.
Rising risk aversion grips global markets: South Korean stocks dropped over 4%, Bitcoin fell more than 2.7%, and Brent crude oil surged past $111.
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