Analysts: Bitcoin’s on-chain activity shows notable divergence, with whales shifting to hoarding coins while spot demand remains weak.
1 hours ago
On-chain data analyst XWIN, citing CryptoQuant data, noted that Bitcoin’s current on-chain metrics show a significant divergence between whale behavior and the spot market. While large holders have begun re-accumulating, spot market demand remains weak, with the market transitioning from "seller exhaustion" toward a potential bottoming phase. XWIN added that on-chain data points to positive accumulation signals: large holders holding 1,000 to 10,000 Bitcoin have sharply reversed their 60-day net accumulation from a negative 62,600 BTC to a positive 5,230 BTC, indicating major whales are shifting back from a distribution mode to accumulation. Meanwhile, Binance’s USDT reserves have surged from roughly $790 million to $1.76 billion, signaling growing potential buying power in the market. However, U.S. spot buying has not kept pace. The Coinbase Premium Index is currently around -0.1416%, while weekly exchange flows have shifted to a net inflow of 8,428 BTC. Additionally, the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR) hovers near 0.9982, indicating short-term holders are still selling at a small loss around the break-even point. The analyst believes that while the underlying market structure is improving, stronger spot demand is urgently needed to fuel a sustainable rally. He advised investors to closely monitor three key signals moving forward: the trajectory of the Coinbase Premium Index, changes in exchange net flows, and whether the STH-SOPR can successfully rise above the 1 threshold.
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