Analyst: The market’s speculative swing coins are being gradually liquidated, though panic has not yet fully subsided.
54 minutes ago
As of October 15, 2026, Bitcoin has dipped three times to around $81,000 on October 9, 12, and 15, repeatedly testing the same support zone. The latest downturn was compounded by macro headwinds including higher-than-expected U.S. inflation, growing market concerns over further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, and weakness in U.S. stocks, putting pressure on risk assets overall. Crypto market analyst Murphy noted that data from on-chain entity-adjusted realized losses shows a clear declining trend in loss volume across the three dips: the loss on October 12 was smaller than that on October 9, and while the loss on October 15 expanded slightly from the 12th, it still remained lower than the level on the 9th. This indicates that October 9 marked a peak where short-term price-sensitive chips were concentratedly sold off; during the second dip, the market was dominated by wait-and-see sentiment with weak selling willingness; the third decline, catalyzed by macro headwinds, forced some undecided chips to stop loss again. Therefore, the current market is closer to a gradual clearance of "swing chips" rather than a full-scale panic sell-off. If the loss ratio of short-term holders remains at only around 31%, below the historical cumulative average of 42.7%, it suggests that chip clearance may not be complete, and further volatility and selling pressure cannot be ruled out going forward. Attention should next focus on whether the scale of realized losses continues to converge: if prices stay near the current support zone while loss release gradually weakens, it means passive selling pressure is decreasing, and the phase correction may be nearing its end. Conversely, if the loss scale expands significantly again, it indicates the market still needs more sufficient chip turnover.
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