Fed's Williams: One more rate hike likely this year, no further increases needed next year.
1 hours ago
New York Fed President Williams stated that one more interest rate hike this year is appropriate, but if the economic outlook unfolds as expected, no further hikes may be needed in 2027. He noted that he supports the September rate hike decision, citing key factors including rising energy prices and increased AI infrastructure investment. Williams explained that the Middle East conflict has pushed up energy prices, which are feeding into core inflation via sectors such as transportation and food; meanwhile, demand for data centers and chips driven by AI development is raising costs for some goods and impacting labor costs in the construction sector. He added that while tariffs, energy prices, and AI demand have pushed inflation higher than this year’s forecasts, inflation expectations remain stable, core inflation metrics continue to decline, and he expects inflation to fall significantly next year, approaching the 2% target. Williams said AI demand is growing at a large scale, outstripping supply in the short term, but as chip production capacity increases and productivity improves, supply conditions may ease in the future, acting as a disinflationary force. When discussing the rise in U.S. Treasury yields, Williams noted that long-term yields are influenced by multiple factors including bond supply and demand, AI investment, fiscal policy, and energy prices, rather than just monetary policy.
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