某交易员仍逆势买入10月加息,并持有BTC及标普空仓
44 minutes ago
According to TradingBeats' monitoring, the implied probability of a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate hike in October on Polymarket is only around 15.5%. Trader tetrose retains his earlier rate hike bets, while also holding approximately $4.45 million in short positions on Bitcoin (BTC) and the S&P 500 index on Hyperliquid. On the prediction market front, tetrose currently holds around 297,800 Yes contracts for a 25 basis point October rate hike, with an average entry cost corresponding to an implied probability of roughly 23.42%. As market rate hike expectations have cooled, this position is currently valued at around $46,200, with an unrealized loss of approximately $23,600. Meanwhile, after triggering a stop-loss yesterday, tetrose added a short position of roughly 20.95 BTC, worth around $1.7345 million, with an unrealized loss of about $6,491; he also holds an additional short position on the S&P 500 index worth approximately $2.7115 million, with an unrealized loss of around $1,666. The combined notional value of these two short positions is roughly $4.446 million.
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