Analysis: The proportion of supply from loss-making and profitable holders has diverged again, suggesting the market may shift into an uptrend cycle.
2026.10.08 15:55:51
CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan stated in a post that the overall trend of the crypto market can be gauged by tracking shifts in the proportion of loss-making supply and profitable supply. In previous bear cycle bottoms, these two metrics would gradually converge; as the market transitions to a bull cycle, they would once again diverge. Dan notes this pattern holds true for the current market as well. He added that during past cycle lows, Bitcoin prices typically fell below the Realized Price, though this correction saw a relatively shallow decline with no such breach occurring. Based on current overall market performance, the crypto market is in the process of shifting to a bull cycle, and this transition is nearly complete.
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