A hawkish board member of the Bank of Japan has stated that an urgent interest rate hike is needed, with markets pricing in a 25 basis point rate hike next week.
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy Board member Masu Kazuyuki said Thursday that Japan is no longer in deflation, and the central bank must resolve its negative real interest rate issue as soon as possible while further raising policy rates. He warned that if underlying inflation significantly exceeds 2%, the BOJ may need to accelerate its pace of rate hikes. Markets are widely expecting the BOJ to raise rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at next week’s policy meeting, with some traders even betting the central bank will signal another hike in October. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent previously said he is "quite familiar" with the BOJ’s next moves, further boosting market expectations for a Japanese rate hike. Meanwhile, the yen has rebounded from a July low near 164 to around 153.5, hitting a six-month high. Stefan Angrick, Moody’s Asia-Pacific Chief Economist, noted that Masu Kazuyuki’s hawkish comments are another sign the BOJ is moving toward rate hikes, and expects the central bank may lift its rate hike frequency to once every three months going forward. In the bond market, Japan’s 10-year government bond yield has topped 3%, hitting a roughly 30-year high, as markets accelerate a reassessment of the asset pricing impacts from Japan’s monetary policy normalization.
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