Analyst: Trump’s economic isolation plan could prompt Iran to launch strikes across the Persian Gulf.
1 hours ago
Analysts say U.S. President Donald Trump is attempting to achieve a goal that tens of thousands of bombs and missiles failed to reach—forcing Iran to end the war on terms set by the U.S.—through a new round of sanctions, maritime blockades, and intensified economic pressure on Iran’s trading partners. However, this old approach of "forcing Iran to submit" has a fatal flaw: Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has effectively controlled the Strait of Hormuz and repeatedly launched large numbers of attack drones toward the Persian Gulf. The IRGC is largely immune to economic pressure and holds ample retaliatory means. A key milestone for the U.S. campaign is Monday, when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will unveil details of a new plan. The plan aims to shift the conflict from mutual airstrikes in the Middle East to full economic isolation. However, if the new economic pressure actually takes effect, Iran will likely retaliate with military strikes targeting energy facilities along the Persian Gulf, seeking to drive up oil prices, raise the cost of U.S. operations, and force Trump to reverse course again.
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