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Analysis: This round of Bitcoin rally is driven by factors including rising optimism over crypto regulation and the expansion of US Treasury repo operations.

2026.08.20 01:40:19

According to Bloomberg, as industry executives gather at the White House and market regulatory optimism builds, Bitcoin broke through a months-long trading range on Wednesday, surging as much as 8% to around $69,500—its largest gain since March and the highest level since early June. Trump is expected to hold meetings with executives from firms including Coinbase, Payward, and Blockchain.com. Axel Rudolph, chief technical analyst at IG, said the rally toward $70,000 was triggered by short covering, signaling a recovery in buyer confidence, though whether the momentum can hold and push to challenge the $75,000 level remains a key test. Bitcoin also reclaimed its 100-day and 200-day moving averages on Wednesday. Data from Coinglass showed the sharp rise triggered over $1 billion in liquidations within an hour, with total liquidations reaching roughly $1.5 billion over the past 24 hours. On the regulatory front, the U.S. SEC this week proposed exempting certain digital asset issuers from securities registration requirements to support early-stage and fundraising-stage companies. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury Department announced it would at least double the size of its liquidity-supporting repo operations for 10- to 30-year Treasuries, pushing U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar lower. Joshua Lim, co-head of markets at FalconX, noted that the market has been flooded with sell orders over the past weeks, but Bitcoin held firm in the $60,000 range, which subsequently shifted market sentiment and narratives. Data from Deribit showed Bitcoin options positions are concentrated near $60,000 put options and $70,000 call options.

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Analysis: The majority of BTC sold on-chain are currently profitable, and strong buying pressure is a typical hallmark of a bull market.

Glassnode notes that Bitcoin’s entity-adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) 7-day moving average has reclaimed the 1.00 break-even threshold. This means most on-chain sold tokens are in profit, yet the price has not immediately pulled back—signaling strong enough buying demand to absorb profit-taking selling pressure, a hallmark of a bull market. If the indicator remains above 1, it reflects robust demand; a drop back below 1 would indicate this supporting force is fading. The accompanying chart’s orange line is the adjusted SOPR, gray line tracks BTC price, green areas denote overall profitable sales, and red areas represent overall loss-making sales.

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Meme coin ROBIN rose 47% in 24 hours, with its market cap surpassing $6.5 million.

According to GMGN data, the on-chain meme coin ROBIN on Robinhood Chain has surged 47% in 24 hours, with its market cap exceeding $6.5 million. ROBIN (Robin the Frog) is directly based on a real character from *The Muppets*: Robin the Frog, nephew of Kermit the Frog. This character also appears in *Muppet Robin Hood*, linking directly to the Robin Hood story—an alignment that fits closely with Robinhood Chain’s narrative. The community has dubbed it the "Pepe of Robinhood Chain" or "the native frog of the chain". BlockBeats reminds users that meme coins often lack practical use cases, experience significant price volatility, and caution is required for investments in these assets.

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Crypto figure 'Maji' adds long positions in ETH and HYPE, total positions hit $130 million.

Per TradingBeats monitoring, "Big Brother Ma Ji" Huang Lichang added to his long positions in Ethereum (ETH) and HYPE ten minutes ago, lifting his total position size to $130 million. His current positions are as follows: ETH long positions worth approximately $86.34 million, with an unrealized profit of ~$4.05 million, entry price of $2,516.72, and liquidation price of $2,518.34; BTC long positions of ~$40.26 million, with an unrealized profit of ~$250,000, entry price of $80,845.90, and liquidation price of $73,334.33; HYPE long positions of ~$5.15 million, with an unrealized loss of ~$10,000, entry price of $92.54, and liquidation price of $18.38.

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Machi Increases Positions to $131M: 32.6K $ETH, 495 $BTC, 55.5K $HYPE

As the market rises, Machi(@machibigbrother) has increased his positions to $131M! He's now long: 32,600 $ETH ($85.73M) 495 $BTC ($40.26M) 55,500 $HYPE ($5.06M) Liquidation prices: $ETH: $2,517 $BTC: $73,501 $HYPE: $18.7

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HYPE extends its upward momentum, hitting a new high of $94.49.

According to HTX market data, HYPE extended its upward momentum after hitting a new high above $90 yesterday, notching a 4.5% 24-hour gain to reach a peak of $94.49, and is currently trading at $92.3. HYPE has a market capitalization of $20.52 billion, ranking 8th on the cryptocurrency market cap rankings (excluding stablecoins).

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Jiang Zhuoer: Short selling is employed to reduce drawdowns following spot price increases, generating a 34% coin-denominated profit after several months of trading.

Jiang Zhuoer, founder of crypto mining pool BTC.TOP, stated in a post that after several months of trading, his coin-based profit reached 34%, and his USDT-denominated profit hit 92%, nearly doubling. The keys to profitability are position sizing, trading strategies, and coin selection. One must incorporate market sentiment into trading to grasp its nuances. We are now in a bull market cycle; his default position is full spot holdings of Ethereum (ETH). Apart from several recent short positions, the more critical approach is to hold spot ETH fully long-term, as shorting only serves to mitigate drawdowns after spot prices rise.

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