Serenity: Surge in AI Optical Communications Demand May Result in Years-Long Shortages for Laser and Photonic Supply Chains
57 minutes ago
Serenity noted in a report that with the acceleration of AI infrastructure construction, the optical communication industry chain is facing a severe supply-demand imbalance, with demand for key components such as lasers, TIAs, and DSPs consistently outstripping supply capacity, suggesting the photonics industry may be entering a super cycle similar to that of the storage sector. Serenity added that recent financial results from optical communication firms including LITE, MTSI, and AAOI all show that AI-driven demand for optical modules is growing rapidly, leading to notable tightness in the related supply chain. At an Elazr investor conference, the company’s general manager stated that current optical supply still lags far behind market demand, and the AI-related optical communication supply chain shortage is expected to persist for several years. He pointed out that the entire supply chain is currently in a state of stockouts, with supply capacity failing to meet market needs; shortages are not only seen in laser chips but also span multiple AI infrastructure links such as PCBs, carriers, and packaging. Serenity believes that with AI industry demand visibility extending into the next several years, and the supply chain continuing to be constrained by production capacity bottlenecks, the photonics industry may be replicating the storage sector’s previous super cycle, which could last until 2027 or even longer.
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