Analysis: Bitcoin’s current holding concentration mirrors that on the eve of the FTX collapse, signaling a potential final dip in the bear market.
2026.08.01 16:20:56
According to crypto analyst Murphy, Bitcoin’s URPD (UTXO Realized Price Distribution) data reveals that Bitcoin has a high concentration of 890,000 coins at the $63,000 level, and 710,000 coins at the $62,000 level. Together, these holdings account for roughly 8% of the circulating supply, far exceeding the average. Murphy points out that this concentration level mirrors that seen on the eve of the 2022 FTX incident, noting that high concentration boosts Bitcoin’s price sensitivity, making it vulnerable to sharp fluctuations and eventually triggering violent capital redistribution, which could mark a key directional shift in the late bear market. In response, Jiang Zhuoer commented that if the CLARITY Act fails to pass before the congressional recess, Bitcoin may see its final drop to the bear market bottom.
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