Tom Lee: Margin debt balance on U.S. stock markets has posted a rare surge in 60 years, with the previous five such market occurrences all leading to a six-month consolidation period.
2026.07.20 16:58:44
Over the weekend, Tom Lee told CNBC in an interview that U.S. margin debt has risen 54% year-over-year, marking the sixth-largest increase in the past 60 years. “A cohort of traders borrowing money to buy stocks has flooded into the market, and history shows the market will react accordingly: the South Korean stock market offers a case in point, where 1.2 million brokerage accounts faced margin calls, potentially accounting for 10% of all adult investor accounts,” Lee noted. He added that in U.S. stock market history, the prior five surges in margin balances were typically followed by a six-month market consolidation.
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