Mizuho: Circle’s Approval by U.S. National Trust Bank Fails to Alter Its Fundamentals, USDC Still Faces Growth and Competitive Pressures
4 hours ago
Japanese investment bank Mizuho stated that Circle’s final approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to establish the First National Digital Currency Bank is a positive development, but it does not address the firm’s core current challenges. Mizuho maintains a "neutral" rating on Circle, warning that the market’s reaction to this positive news may be overly optimistic. The firm notes that since March this year, USDC’s circulating market capitalization has fallen by roughly $70 billion to around $740 billion, a sign of slowing growth momentum that could weigh on Circle’s transaction revenue and reserve earnings. Additionally, Mizuho highlights that Open USD (OUSD), a stablecoin complying with the GENIUS Act and launched by over 140 financial and tech firms including Mastercard, Stripe, and Coinbase, is intensifying market competition. As more consortium-based stablecoins emerge, the stablecoin sector may become more homogeneous, making it increasingly difficult for Circle to retain its competitive advantage.
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