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Analysis: Weak demand from U.S. institutions may keep Bitcoin under pressure and range-bound in the short term.

2026.06.28 10:45:27

Bitfire Group stated in its latest market commentary that Bitcoin’s negative premium on Coinbase has continued to widen, signaling persistent weakness in U.S. institutional buying. Meanwhile, Strategy’s income preferred stock (ticker: STRC) briefly dipped below $84. Though there is no immediate liquidation risk, market concerns over whether the firm will need to sell Bitcoin continue to weigh on sentiment. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, with short-term MAs in a bearish alignment. The daily RSI stands at around 40—weak but not yet in oversold territory. The overall Bollinger Bands are sloping downward, with the middle band acting as strong resistance. Bitfire Group believes that with a lack of sustained bullish momentum and bears still holding the upper hand, Bitcoin will likely continue fluctuating below resistance levels in the short term, further testing actual buying demand on the downside. Key resistance levels are at $64,650, $66,900, and $69,800, while the main support level is at $63,500.

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