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WSJ: Israel-Lebanon Talks Next Week to Be Preparatory Meeting

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April 10 — Upcoming Israel-Lebanon talks set for Washington next week will be limited to ambassador-level discussions, not higher-level negotiations, per The Wall Street Journal, mediators and a source familiar with the matter.
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Analyst: CPI data may be "ignored," US-Iran negotiation the sole variable

April 10th: Forex analyst Giuseppe Dellamotta noted that with markets focused on U.S.-Iran negotiations and the widely held view that March’s inflation uptick was war-driven, today’s data will likely be overlooked—since everything hinges on the outcome of those talks. While forecasts for headline CPI show significant divergence, core CPI projections are more clustered. The Federal Reserve is currently firmly neutral but has left the door open to further tightening if inflation expectations start to rise or the war drags on longer than anticipated. Markets are pricing in 7 basis points of easing by year-end, with no rate hikes or cuts expected in 2026. (Krypton)

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The Kingdom of Bhutan has transferred 250 BTC to a newly created address

On April 10, per Onchain Lens monitoring data, an address linked to the Kingdom of Bhutan transferred 250 BTC (valued at approximately $18.05 million) to a new address.

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TD Cowen Lowers Strategy Price Target to $350, Initiates Buy Rating on Four Cryptofinance Companies Including Sharplink

April 10, per The Block: TD Cowen cut its target price for MicroStrategy (MSTR) to $350 from $440 (a 20.5% drop) while retaining a Buy rating. Analysts Lance Vitanza and Jonathan Navarrete cited "lower expected Bitcoin prices" and a reduced valuation multiple for the firm’s Bitcoin earnings as the driver. The pair trimmed their 2026 fiscal year "BTC earnings" forecast to $7.87 billion—below 2025’s $10.17 billion—but noted MSTR’s core investment thesis still centers on converting market demand for volatility into Bitcoin via an "effective leveraged form." TD Cowen’s scenarios for MSTR: - **Base case**: Bitcoin hits $140,000 by December 2026; MSTR adds ~$5 billion in Bitcoin quarterly. - **Optimistic**: Bitcoin rises to $175,000; quarterly purchases exceed $5 billion. - **Pessimistic**: Bitcoin drops to $25,000; MSTR pauses buys due to market conditions/financing constraints. The firm also covers four digital asset treasury companies (all Buy-rated): - Sharplink (SBET):

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Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: All parties have reached a consensus, and the Iranian side's ten-point plan will serve as the basis for negotiations

April 10 — Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that all parties have reached consensus, with Iran’s 10-point plan set to form the basis for negotiations at a meeting of foreign envoys and international organization representatives in Iran. He emphasized Iran consistently welcomes diplomacy and dialogue but will never accept talks rooted in false information intended to deceive and pave the way for further military aggression against the country. (CCTV News) ### Notes on U.S. English adaptation: 1. **Conciseness**: Simplified redundant phrases (e.g., omitted repeated "on the 10th" since the date is already clear) and used compact structures (e.g., "set to form the basis" instead of "will serve as the basis"). 2. **Clarity**: Added the full name **Abbas Araghchi** (U.S. news typically uses full names for key officials on first mention). 3. **Natural flow**: Replaced repetitive "Iran" with "the country" later to avoid redundancy; used "consistently" (a common U.S. ne

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Analyst: Bitcoin Daily Bollinger Bands Narrow to New Low Since Early 2024, Potentially Signaling ~40% Volatility Ahead

April 10 (CoinDesk) — The crypto market held steady overall on Friday, with Bitcoin seeing minor volatility around $71,700 and Ethereum trading at $2,180, extending the low-volatility trend of the past few months. On technical charts, Bitcoin’s daily Bollinger Bands have contracted to their narrowest level since early 2024. Crypto analyst Eric Crown noted that Bitcoin has traded in a $63,000-$75,000 range since early February; historically, such a tight range has preceded roughly 40% price swings. Per CoinGlass’s liquidation heatmap, a breakout above $75,000 would spark upward momentum and force short sellers to cover their positions. A short-term drop below $70,000, meanwhile, would wipe out roughly $200 million in long positions betting on a breakout. A key catalyst Friday was U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. March’s annual inflation rate is expected to hit 3.3%, pushed higher by rising energy costs. Inflation readings above expectations often strengthen the U.S. dollar

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Bitcoin Surpasses $72,000

On April 10, per HTX market data, Bitcoin topped $72,000, posting a 1.17% 24-hour gain.

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