Lookonchain APP

App Store

Fidelity: Anticipates that as the industry matures, Bitcoin's bull and bear market cycles will gradually narrow

2 hours ago

April 1 — Fidelity Digital Assets noted Wednesday that Bitcoin has fallen roughly 50% in its current market cycle, a pullback far smaller than in prior cycles, and suggested this trend could persist over time. Fidelity Digital Assets research analyst Zack Wainwright said Tuesday that Bitcoin has historically seen sharp 80% to 90% pullbacks after hitting new all-time highs—but this cycle’s retracement is around 50%. Looking at Bitcoin’s price performance relative to the peak of the prior cycle, a “diminishing returns” pattern has emerged between cycles, he added. “Each cycle’s upward momentum has weakened compared to the one before,” Wainwright explained. “This cycle—extending to 2026—has also seen reduced downside risk.”
Relevant content

The "Silver Iron Pentagon Air Force" entered a nearly 20 million ETH short position and placed an equally sized sell order above $2180 to short the market.

April 1st: Per HyperInsight monitoring (via https://t.me/HyperInsight), in the past 30 minutes, the "Silver Iron Head Air Force" short-focused whale opened a 20x leveraged ETH short position at an average entry price of $2,136. The whale holds 9,353 ETH (~$19.92M) and has an unrealized profit of $60k (6%). Simultaneously, the address has placed sell orders in the $2,180-$2,300 range, planning to add ~$20M in short positions in batches if ETH hits that level. This will push the total potential short size across both moves to nearly $40M, as the whale aims to further suppress prices with a higher average cost.

1 minutes ago

A certain newly created wallet withdrew 25.5 million STO from Binance in the past 20 hours, equivalent to around 4.85 million US dollars.

LookOnChain monitoring data shows that on April 1st, STO’s price jumped from $0.11 to $0.26, marking a 136% surge. A newly created wallet (0x5e2E) has withdrawn 25.5 million STO tokens from Binance over the past 20 hours—valued at roughly $4.85 million at current rates—accounting for 11.32% of the token’s circulating supply.

1 minutes ago

The largest single liquidation in the past 24 hours across the entire network occurred on Brent Crude Oil, with a certain BRENTOIL long position facing a $20M liquidation.

On April 1st, data from HyperInsight (via its Telegram channel @HyperInsight) and Coinglass shows Brent Oil (BRENTOIL) contract liquidations ranked third across all networks in the past 24 hours. A single Hyperliquid platform address holding a Brent Oil long position triggered multiple large liquidations as oil prices continued to drop, with total losses exceeding $20 million. The first liquidation hit when Brent Oil fell below $101, totaling $17.17 million; later, as prices slipped further below $100, the address triggered another $3.7 million liquidation. These consecutive liquidations mark the largest single-address liquidation across the network in the past 24 hours.

1 minutes ago

Trump's Comments Trigger Global Stock Market Surge, Low Trading Volume Suggests Fragile Recovery

April 1: Despite former President Trump’s claim that U.S. troops would withdraw “within three weeks” sparking a retaliatory rebound in global equities, deep-seated anxiety over the global economic outlook lingers beneath the market’s recent gains. On Wednesday, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted its biggest single-day gain since April 2025, while the STOXX Europe 600 Index rose 2.5%. Thin trading volume, however, underscored the rebound’s fragility: the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) traded at just 80% of its monthly average over the past month, for example. Investors fear even if U.S. forces withdraw, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will remain a long-term drag on economic fundamentals. Brent crude, though now below $100 a barrel, is still 37% higher than pre-war levels. Analysts at Goldman Sachs, SMBC Nikko Securities and other firms note that a structural rise in energy costs will squeeze corporate profits and erode consumer purchasing power. Notably, energy

1 minutes ago

Bitunix Analyst: Job Market Cooling Combined with Energy Retrenchment, War Spillover to Tech Infrastructure, Market Enters "Risk Pricing Distortion" Phase

April 1 saw the market hit simultaneously by three disruptions: weakening employment, energy supply contraction, and war escalation. The decline in U.S. job openings signals softening labor demand; gasoline prices rising to $4/gallon and OPEC production dropping to a new low since the pandemic peak imply another passive tightening of energy supply, with unresolved inflationary pressures pushing policy paths back into uncertainty. Meanwhile, Buffett continues to hoard cash, and the CFTC is ramping up regulation of energy and information manipulation—reflecting mainstream funds cutting risk exposure and being wary of market price distortions. On the geopolitical front, a qualitative shift has emerged. Iran has not only refused to back down but expanded its attack scope, moving beyond traditional energy and military facilities to U.S. tech and data infrastructure, explicitly naming operational bases of several Silicon Valley and defense firms in the Middle East. This signals the war ha

1 minutes ago

Iran: Hormuz Strait Will Not Reopen, No Negotiations Held

April 1 – Iranian Parliament states the Strait of Hormuz will not be opened; it has not held any negotiations to date and will not do so in the future, per market sources. (Oriental Wealth)

1 minutes ago