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The US Q4 Real GDP Faces "Halving" Downward Revision! January Core PCE Hits Nearly Two-Year High

2026.03.13 20:56:22

March 13: US Q4 GDP growth revised sharply to 0.7% (from initial 1.4%), missing 1.5% market expectations — signaling a clear slowdown in economic momentum. Post-data, markets still expect the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut to come before September, but uncertainty lingers amid sticky inflation and Middle East-driven oil price gains. US January PCE: 0.3% month-over-month (2.8% year-over-year); core PCE (ex food/energy): 0.4% m/m (3.1% y/y) — a two-year high, with two straight months of 0.4% m/m increases, indicating persistent inflation stickiness.
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