Polymarket Prediction: Probability of "Bitcoin Reaching $100,000 in January" Rises to 27%

2 hours ago

As of January 13, Polymarket’s forecast probabilities for Bitcoin’s price movements this January are: - 27% chance it rises to $100,000 - 61% chance it rises to $95,000 - 33% chance it drops to $85,000 - 13% chance it drops to $80,000 This version uses concise, conversational framing (common in U.S. crypto/finance quick updates), clear bullet points for readability, and "as of" to anchor the time, aligning with American language habits for timely, scannable news.

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A trader closed a 3-month long position in ZEREBRO, making a profit of $169,000.

On January 13, per monitoring from HyperInsight (via their Telegram channel), a trader closed out a $3.37 million long position in ZEREBRO at 1:32 PM—one that had been held for more than 94 days. The trade netted the trader a $169,000 profit, and it marks the only contract trade the associated wallet address has executed to date.

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Uniswap Founder Lambasts Celebrities and Politicians Exploiting Blockchain for Scams

On January 13, Uniswap founder Hayden Adams commented on the NYC Coin incident involving former New York City Mayor Eric Adams, slamming celebrities and politicians for exploiting blockchain to carry out fraudulent schemes. Adams noted that celebrities have viable, legitimate ways to profit from blockchain technology—such as issuing tokens while maintaining liquidity, delivering real value to holders, and ensuring project transparency. He emphasized blockchain is “an unprecedentedly powerful tool for collaboration, monetization and value distribution” used by millions globally—but celebrities often leverage it for short-sighted fraud. Adams argued that running blockchain projects honestly would let celebrities earn more, safeguard their reputations, and steer clear of legal trouble.

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Preview: The U.S. will release the December CPI data tonight at 9:30 PM, and the market generally expects price pressure to remain stubborn

January 13: U.S. December CPI data is set for release at 21:30 tonight. The market broadly expects the inflation reading to reflect persistent price pressures while remaining below the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Per a composite survey from Bloomberg and FactSet: - Headline CPI: +0.3% month-over-month, +2.7% year-over-year (forecast) - Core CPI (excluding volatile food/energy): +0.3% month-over-month, +2.7% year-over-year (forecast) While the Cleveland Fed’s Nowcast model projects a slightly softer core CPI (0.22% month-over-month), mainstream Wall Street consensus is that inflation has not cooled meaningfully. CME Group data indicates the market assigns a 95% probability the Fed will hold interest rates steady at its January meeting.

8 minutes ago

A whale transferred 10 million USDC to Lighter to short 5x LIT, spending $2.2 million to buy 1,059,000 LIT.

Jan. 13 — Per Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale has transferred 10 million USDC to Lighter and is actively hedging, even as LIT continues to decline. The whale has opened a 5x leveraged short position on LIT, spending $2.2 million to purchase 1,059,000 LIT at an average price of $2.08. Currently, the whale still holds 2,788,000 USDC and may continue accumulating LIT.

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「Opponent's Position Strategy」 Close Long SOL Position, $700k Profit

January 13th — Per monitoring from HyperInsight, Strategy’s nemesis (the former Hyperliquid whale 0x94d37, once the largest BTC short holder on the platform) has closed its SOL long position, netting a $700k profit while carrying an account unrealized loss of $35k. As Strategy continued accumulating BTC, this address opened short positions in BTC, ETH and other major coins. At one point, it held a $120M position to become Hyperliquid’s largest BTC short; it now ranks as the second-largest.