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glassnode: After Historic On-Chain Options Expiry, Bitcoin Awaits Next Defining Move

2025.10.02 22:56:26

On October 2nd, glassnode released a Bitcoin market viewpoint analysis indicating that on-chain dynamics continue to emphasize the key role of the short-term holder cost basis. This discrepancy has consistently provided reliable support since May 2025. The price is still encountering a challenge from a dense supply cluster between $114,000 and $118,000. However, the moderation of the long-term holder distribution and the return of ETF funds suggest that demand is stabilizing. Market sentiment, as measured by RVT and the Fear & Greed Index, indicates that the market is in a cooling-off period, and the market trend is shifting towards consolidation rather than capitulation. In the options market, a record-breaking expiry date reset positions have occurred, and the open interest contracts are currently re-entering the fourth quarter. Volatility has slightly decreased, skewness is moving in a neutral direction, the curve remains in a positive spread state, with the back end showing more strength. Fund flows show moderate upward interest. Traders' gamma values remain generally balanced, suppressing hedging fund flows. Overall, these signals suggest that the market is resetting to a more neutral and constructive environment, waiting for the arrival of the next decisive trend.
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Cambodia has for the first time publicly disclosed its largest telecom fraud park, No. 8 Park, and on-chain intelligence shows it is linked to the Prince Group.

According to Caixin reports, Cambodian authorities have for the first time disclosed details of the large-scale online telecom fraud hub "Camp 8" (also known as Wansheng Commercial City or Legend Park) in Prey Veng Province. Built in 2023, the 120-hectare site is one of Cambodia’s largest fraud bases, capable of housing up to 20,000 trafficked laborers forced to conduct cross-border telecom and online fraud. It operates as a closed "city within a city" with full supporting facilities including offices, accommodation, supermarkets, and network data centers. Blockchain intelligence agency Elliptic’s investigation found that the park’s operator, Legend Innovation, has direct overlaps and links with the US and UK-sanctioned Prince Group in corporate phone registration, executive activities, and business records. Additionally, the park long hosted an offline service outlet of Huione Pay, used for cryptocurrency and fiat currency deposits, withdrawals, and exchanges for park personnel and illicit financial operations.

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Meme coin MONITOR, tied to Robinhood's on-chain, coin and stock offerings, has expanded its price rally, with its market capitalization exceeding $13 million.

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