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Goldman Sachs: The US Treasury can push down long-term Treasury yields by 20 to 40 basis points, but it will struggle to change their ultimate direction.

41 minutes ago

Goldman Sachs MarketStrats believes that the U.S. Treasury’s expansion of long-term U.S. Treasury repurchases does have the ability to temporarily ease pressure on long-end interest rates. Citing the 1961 Operation Twist and the 2011 Maturity Extension Program, this policy tool has historically driven long-end rate declines of roughly 10 to 20 basis points (bp); Goldman Sachs judges that this round of operations—via repurchases, adjusted maturity issuance, and balance sheet management—could also deliver a temporary 20 to 40 bp drop in long-end yields. However, Goldman Sachs remains cautious about the long-term impact. The drivers behind the current rise in long-end rates are no longer just technical supply-demand mismatches, but also persistent fiscal deficits, inflation uncertainty, and an upward shift in the equilibrium real interest rate. The report also emphasizes that AI-related capital expenditures, data center construction, power infrastructure development, and reindustrialization are continuously boosting overall societal capital demand. Treasury repurchases can ease the duration supply the market needs to absorb in the short term, but they cannot reverse the broader trend of more expensive capital and a higher long-term interest rate equilibrium.

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Serenity: Leveraged traders shift to crypto markets and biotech, AI stocks are poised for a faster rebound

Serenity noted in a post that leveraged traders have shifted back from AI stocks to Hyperliquid, a crypto trading platform, and biotech assets, a move Serenity believes could help AI stocks recover faster. South Korean ETF EWY rose, driven primarily by SK Hynix’s share repurchases, while Samsung Foundry hiked wafer fabrication prices by roughly 10% to 15%. Serenity added that SK Hynix unveiled its Co-packaged Optics (CPO) roadmap, which involves a photonic interposer connecting memory chips. This initiative could expand the addressable market and boost demand for related supply chains including lasers, photonic integrated circuits, and packaging. Separately, after Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) completed its listing, Yangtze Memory Technologies (YMTC) is targeting an IPO in the next quarter. Optoelectronics manufacturer Tyntek saw its stock hit the daily trading limit, with order visibility extending to 2028, reflecting a supply-demand imbalance for photodiodes in the photonics industry. Additionally, a shortage of high-end PCB drill bits persists, as AI data centers, servers, and optical communications drive demand for PCBs, high-density interconnect (HDI) boards, and packaging substrates, while tungsten prices are also rising.

8 minutes ago

OKX upgrades RLUSD rewards: VIP 10% APR cap raised to 10,000 RLUSD, standard annual percentage rate increased to 4.2% APR.

According to official announcements, OKX has upgraded its RLUSD rewards program. Eligible VIP users will earn a 10% APR on their first 10,000 RLUSD holdings, an increase from the previous program’s cap of 2,000 RLUSD. Balances exceeding 10,000 RLUSD will accrue rewards at a 4.2% APR, while regular users continue to enjoy a 3.5% APR. Notably, users do not need to subscribe, redeem, or lock RLUSD to automatically earn rewards, and may choose to receive payouts in either RLUSD or XRP.

8 minutes ago

Analyst: Bitcoin’s current rally is fueled by a short squeeze, with future market performance still requiring real demand to underpin.

Bitcoin surges past $75,000, hitting a three-month high. The rally was primarily driven by the U.S. Treasury’s announcement to expand the scale of its long-term U.S. Treasury bond liquidity support repurchase operations. The Treasury had earlier stated it would at least double the size of these operations for long-term nominal coupon securities with maturities of 10 to 30 years. Additional factors boosting market sentiment include the SEC’s latest crypto regulatory proposal and a White House meeting between Trump and crypto industry executives. The sharp rally has triggered massive short liquidations. Data from Coinglass shows that Bitcoin’s rise on Wednesday led to over $2.75 billion in BTC short positions being liquidated. In the past 24 hours, an additional $783.2 million in Bitcoin positions were liquidated, of which $747.7 million were short positions. However, analyst Shawn Young believes the current rally may be overinterpreted by the market. He noted that the crypto market is “assigning far more significance to the U.S. Treasury’s intervention measures than their actual impact,” adding that bond market changes are forcing shorts to cover quickly rather than improving Bitcoin’s macro fundamentals. U.S. Treasuries are still competing with Bitcoin for marginal capital, and the current rise is largely driven by the market’s previously overcrowded short positions. He called Bitcoin’s break above $70,000 “premature.” Zeus Research analyst Dominick John said short liquidations could still push prices higher in the short term, but as forced buying fades, future moves will need to be supported by real spot demand, liquidity conditions, and macro fundamentals. He added that the key for the market’s next phase is whether new capital can enter, turning this short squeeze into a sustained uptrend. Additionally, smooth passage of the Clarity Act in September could serve as an important catalyst for further crypto market growth.

8 minutes ago

MANTRA Chain has suspended operations due to a security incident, with deposit and withdrawal functions temporarily affected.

MANTRA Chain officials have announced that the network is currently experiencing an incident impacting its on-chain operations. The team has suspended the blockchain as a preventive measure and is conducting an investigation. All interfaces and transactions have been frozen, and users’ deposit and withdrawal functions on MANTRA Chain are temporarily affected. The root cause of the incident has not yet been confirmed, nor has a recovery timeline been released. Subsequent updates will be issued via official channels once verified information is obtained.

8 minutes ago

A crypto whale that set 10 major targets first has reopened short positions on Ethereum (ETH) and added to its Bitcoin (BTC) short positions, bringing the total to 202.265 BTC.

Whale codenamed "Set 10 Big Goals" has reopened short positions on Ethereum (ETH), currently shorting 1,211.812 ETH at an entry price of $2,346.83. It also added to its short positions on Bitcoin (BTC), bringing the total to 202.265 BTC at an entry price of $74,506.57. Previous reports showed the whale pocketed $20 million from long positions on August 19, while $6.28 million in profits were wiped out by its recent short trades, leaving a net profit of $13.72 million from the round of long-short transactions.

8 minutes ago

Chasing highs aggressively with 20x leverage, the fourth-largest ETH long position on Hyperliquid has expanded its unrealized profit to $7.3 million.

According to monitoring by TradingBeats (formerly Hyperinsight), the fourth-largest ETH long address on Hyperliquid – with the top three all linked to Matrixport – has seen its unrealized profit expand to $7.3 million, at an entry price of $2,027. Data shows the address first deposited funds into Hyperliquid on August 7, began building positions on the evening of August 19 when ETH rose to $2,057, generated roughly $8 million in profit within two days, and completed its first position reduction on the morning of August 20, locking in $864,565 in gains.

8 minutes ago

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