Goldman Sachs: The US Treasury can push down long-term Treasury yields by 20 to 40 basis points, but it will struggle to change their ultimate direction.
41 minutes ago
Goldman Sachs MarketStrats believes that the U.S. Treasury’s expansion of long-term U.S. Treasury repurchases does have the ability to temporarily ease pressure on long-end interest rates. Citing the 1961 Operation Twist and the 2011 Maturity Extension Program, this policy tool has historically driven long-end rate declines of roughly 10 to 20 basis points (bp); Goldman Sachs judges that this round of operations—via repurchases, adjusted maturity issuance, and balance sheet management—could also deliver a temporary 20 to 40 bp drop in long-end yields. However, Goldman Sachs remains cautious about the long-term impact. The drivers behind the current rise in long-end rates are no longer just technical supply-demand mismatches, but also persistent fiscal deficits, inflation uncertainty, and an upward shift in the equilibrium real interest rate. The report also emphasizes that AI-related capital expenditures, data center construction, power infrastructure development, and reindustrialization are continuously boosting overall societal capital demand. Treasury repurchases can ease the duration supply the market needs to absorb in the short term, but they cannot reverse the broader trend of more expensive capital and a higher long-term interest rate equilibrium.
Serenity: Leveraged traders shift to crypto markets and biotech, AI stocks are poised for a faster rebound
8 minutes ago
OKX upgrades RLUSD rewards: VIP 10% APR cap raised to 10,000 RLUSD, standard annual percentage rate increased to 4.2% APR.
8 minutes ago
Analyst: Bitcoin’s current rally is fueled by a short squeeze, with future market performance still requiring real demand to underpin.
8 minutes ago
MANTRA Chain has suspended operations due to a security incident, with deposit and withdrawal functions temporarily affected.
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A crypto whale that set 10 major targets first has reopened short positions on Ethereum (ETH) and added to its Bitcoin (BTC) short positions, bringing the total to 202.265 BTC.
8 minutes ago
Chasing highs aggressively with 20x leverage, the fourth-largest ETH long position on Hyperliquid has expanded its unrealized profit to $7.3 million.
8 minutes ago
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