US Stock Futures Dive Further

**December 15 — Per monitoring from PolyBeats, the market’s odds on “Will Tesla launch unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) by December 31?” have plummeted since the contract launched May 30: starting at a peak of 75%, they fell to just 7% as of the morning of December 14 Eastern Time.** **That shifted early December 14 Eastern Time, when multiple X users tweeted spotting a fully unmanned Tesla Model Y Robotaxi operating autonomously in Austin, Texas. Shortly after, Tesla AI lead Ashok Elluswamy retweeted the video with the comment “And so it begins!”—a signal the market interpreted as Tesla nearing an unsupervised FSD release.** **Driven by the news, the probability surged nearly 8x, hitting a peak of 54% before settling at 24% currently.** **During the surge, one user—sango—stood out as suspicious: they could have locked in over 200% profits but held their position. Sango began buying “yes” contracts for this market three months ago, with an average entry price of 17 cents a

On December 15, spot gold jumped 1.00% intraday and was last trading at $4,343.39 per ounce.

As of December 15th, F2pool data shows the Bitcoin network’s total hashrate currently stands at 988.49 EH/s — a 17.25% drop from the same time last week.

Dec. 15 — Per data from Coinbob Popular Address Monitor, the whale wallet **pension-usdt.eth** initially closed its ~$88.8M BTC short position 1 hour ago, locking in ~$950k in profits, before opening a 3x-leveraged BTC long position. However, the wallet has since reversed course: it closed all long positions for a $93k profit, then opened a 3x-leveraged $31.97M BTC short position. The entry price is $89,580.9, liquidation price $172,666.7, with current unrealized profits at $33k.

December 15 — Data from Coinglass shows that over the past seven days, centralized exchanges (CEXs) have seen a total net outflow of 25,141.37 BTC. The top three CEXs by outflow are: - Coinbase Pro: 11,236.77 BTC outflow - Binance: 4,652.85 BTC outflow - Kraken: 3,811.00 BTC outflow Additionally, Gate led inflows with 415.60 BTC, topping the inflow rankings.

On December 15th, Curve Finance founder Michael Egorov proposed allocating 17.45 million CRV tokens to Swiss Stake AG—Curve’s development firm—to support ecosystem building, technical research, and the ongoing growth of its lending protocols. Based on current prices, the funding is worth roughly $6.6 million; Curve had previously awarded a similar grant to the firm ahead of the end of 2024. Egorov posted on Curve DAO’s governance forum that the funds will go toward software development, infrastructure and security upgrades, and supporting Swiss Stake AG’s core team of about 25 contributors. Planned objectives include: launching and scaling the new Llamalend lending system, building on-chain forex functionality, and optimizing Curve’s user interface and cross-chain capabilities. Per the proposal, relevant research findings will be released under a license compatible with Curve’s open-source codebase. If approved, Swiss Stake AG may stake some CRV to earn rewards, but it must stric