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US Stock Futures Dive Further

2025.04.16 13:25:49

On April 16th, the futures of the three major U.S. stock indexes witnessed a continuous decline. Nasdaq futures dropped by 2%, S&P 500 futures decreased by 1.29%, and Dow futures fell by 0.65%. (FX168)
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Analyst: Bitcoin Doesn't Need to Wait for Gold and Silver Pullback, Can Still Extend Its Uptrend

December 28 — Per Cointelegraph, analysts note Bitcoin doesn’t need to wait for gold or silver pullbacks to extend its upward trend. Glassnode Chief Analyst James Check called this an “unexpectedly unpopular take,” adding those who think Bitcoin must wait for precious metals to retreat “don’t truly understand these assets.” Macro economist Lyn Alden echoed the view: While “many frame it as a competitive relationship,” she “doesn’t agree.” She noted Bitcoin’s recent strength relative to gold stems from its “stagnation phase” over the past year, whereas gold has had “a very strong year.” Both assets, she said, have long-term structural logic behind them. Several Bitcoin industry executives expect the current downtrend to reverse by 2026: - Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan: “Bitcoin will rally next year.” - Jan3 founder Samson Mow: Bitcoin may be on the cusp of a “decade-long bull market.”

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Whale Trader "pension-usdt.eth" Increases ETH Short Position, Holding Reaches $76.64M

December 28 — Per monitoring from HyperInsight (via https://t.me/HyperInsight), the whale address “pension-usdt.eth” on Binance Chain has upped its ETH short position by 6,048 units, bringing its total position to 26,048 ETH (valued at approximately $76.64 million). The entry price for the position was $2,926, with an unrealized loss of $420,000 to date.

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Shitcoin Season Index remains at a low level, currently trading at 16

As of December 28, Coinmarketcap (CMC) data shows the Altcoin Season Index currently sits at 16, down from its prior peak of 78 on September 20. The index indicates that over the past 90 days, roughly 16 projects among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap have outperformed Bitcoin. Note: The CMC Altcoin Season Index is a real-time indicator that gauges whether the crypto market is in an altcoin-dominated season. It’s based on the performance of the top 100 altcoins relative to Bitcoin over the past 90 days.

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The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year has slightly increased to 17.7%.

December 28 — CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates the probability the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its January 2026 meeting has edged up to 17.7%, while the likelihood of holding rates steady is 82.3%. For the period through the Fed’s March 2026 meeting, the odds of keeping rates unchanged are 46.7%, with a 45.6% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut and 7.7% probability of a total 50-basis-point reduction. The Fed’s next two FOMC meetings are scheduled for January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026.

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24h Spot Trading Flows: BTC Net Outflow of $65M, FLOW Net Outflow of $9.3M

As of December 28, Coinglass data reveals the top cryptocurrency spot market net capital flows over the past 24 hours are as follows: **Top Net Outflows** - Bitcoin (BTC): $65 million - Ethereum (ETH): $24 million - GAS: $10.61 million - FLOW: $9.3 million - LPT: $6.85 million **Top Net Inflows** - TRON (TRX): $12 million - Solana (SOL): $10.13 million - SUI: $7.23 million - Zcash (ZEC): $6.2 million - Cardano (ADA): $5.3 million

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Trump-Zelensky Meeting Rescheduled to Discuss Ukraine Conflict

December 28 — The White House has updated its latest schedule, moving up the meeting between U.S. President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky in Florida from 3:00 p.m. ET Sunday to 1:00 p.m. ET that afternoon. Zelensky arrived in the U.S. on Saturday, and the two leaders are set to meet at Mar-a-Lago to discuss the Ukraine conflict.

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