Analyst: Bitcoin shows signs of recovery, but its uptrend remains unconfirmed.
Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas wrote that since the 250th anniversary of U.S. Independence, Bitcoin has risen around 8% cumulatively, outperforming most assets. Meanwhile, inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs have started to rebound, with net inflows of roughly $750 million in the past week. Balchunas noted that it is still hard to fully believe this rally has established a stable trend, but it is not unexpected that Bitcoin has rebounded after its prior pullback, adding that its future trajectory remains to be seen. Early Bitcoin holders have been continuously selling assets over the past nine months, which has been weighing on prices; if these holders cease selling, Bitcoin could rally.
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Bankless co-founder: Oil prices may struggle to return to the highs of the first phase of the U.S.-Iran conflict, but will still be a headwind for inflation.
David Hoffman, co-founder of Bankless, published an article stating that during the second phase of the U.S.-Iran conflict, oil prices may fluctuate between $75 and $95 per barrel and will not rise to the highs seen in the first phase of the conflict. However, even if oil prices stay within this range, it will still be unfavorable for the global inflation situation.
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a16z: Tokenized Stock Market Accelerates Expansion, AI and Chip Segments Rise to 15.5%
A report from a16z crypto shows that as of the end of June, the total market capitalization of tokenized stocks reached approximately $1.7 billion, more than quintupling from $329 million a year ago, making it one of the fastest-growing tokenized asset categories. Over half of the current market cap comes from assets that were not on-chain a year ago, indicating growth is driven primarily by new issuances rather than just gains in underlying stock prices.
The market structure has also shifted significantly: the share of crypto-related products dropped from 79% a year ago to 21%; the "other" category, consisting of hundreds of small underlying assets, rose to 35%. Large-cap tech stocks’ share climbed from 0.6% to 10.6%, while ETFs and index products’ share increased from 4.5% to 17.3%. Tokenized stocks of AI and chip-related sectors saw the fastest growth, with their market cap share rising from 0.3% in June 2025 to 15.5%.
On-chain activity has risen in tandem: the monthly transfer volume of tokenized stocks hit $9.22 billion in June, more than 170 times the $53 million recorded in the same period last year. Related transactions include on-chain purchases and sales, inter-wallet transfers, and collateral deposits into DeFi protocols.
Institutional infrastructure is accelerating its rollout: DTCC has completed the first production-environment transactions of tokenized U.S. Treasuries and stocks on the Canton Network; Robinhood has launched its own blockchain; the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) has formed a joint venture with OKX to offer tokenized NYSE stocks once approved; Coinbase and Binance have also launched or plan to launch tokenized U.S. stock services for non-U.S. users.
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Benchmark cuts Coinbase's performance forecasts; the CLARITY Act could be a key catalyst for its stock price.
Benchmark has cut its second-quarter performance forecast for Coinbase ahead of the crypto exchange’s upcoming earnings report next week, citing weak trading activity in the crypto market, while retaining a "Buy" rating and a $270 price target. Based on Coinbase’s Wednesday price of roughly $172, this target implies approximately 57% upside potential. Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer lowered Coinbase’s Q2 revenue estimate from $1.51 billion to $1.38 billion, and trimmed its full-year 2026 revenue forecast from $6.33 billion to $6 billion. Spot trading volumes on centralized crypto platforms fell around 28% in Q2, while the total crypto market cap dropped roughly 13%, leading the firm to project Coinbase’s transaction revenue will decline by more than 5%. Still, early stabilization signs emerged in June: spot trading volumes rose back above $1 trillion for the first time since March, which may partially offset the Q2 softness. Benchmark argues that the eventual passage of the CLARITY Act could serve as a more meaningful stock catalyst than quarterly results, with Coinbase positioned as one of its primary potential beneficiaries. Trump previously agreed to relevant ethics provisions, removing a key hurdle for the bill’s advancement.
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Amazon has carried out layoffs in its Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) division.
Amazon (AMZN) on Wednesday carried out layoffs in its General Artificial Intelligence (AGI) division, the latest in a series of small-scale job cuts at the company following the mass layoffs in January. "We have been building large AI models for many years, and this remains one of our most important ongoing efforts," an Amazon spokesperson said. "We are focusing on projects that matter most to customers to accelerate progress in key areas. This focus means making some tough decisions, including cutting some positions in the AGI organization."
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A major whale went long on $10.66 million worth of Google stock ahead of the tech giant’s earnings report release.
According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, a whale that went long on MU and made a profit of $1.71 million yesterday has now shifted its bullish focus to Alphabet's earnings report. Over the past half hour, the whale opened a long position in GOOGL worth $10.66 million, with an average entry price of $349.7. Alphabet will release its earnings report after U.S. market hours at 4 a.m. Beijing time. In addition to Google's shareholders, investors in AI-related stocks will also closely follow the earnings data.
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