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On June 18th, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, maintaining the status quo for the fourth consecutive meeting—this move was fully in line with market expectations. Following the Fed’s interest rate announcement, HTX market data shows Bitcoin dipped briefly by more than 1% and is currently trading at $65,417. Per Bitget data, spot gold saw a short-term decline of over $40, while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rose 35 points in the same period.

On June 18, the Federal Reserve’s dot plot—with 18 of its 19 officials submitting forecasts this cycle—revealed projections for cumulative interest rate adjustments in the remainder of 2026: one official sees a 75 basis points (bps) cumulative hike, five expect a 50 bps increase, three forecast a 25 bps hike, eight call for rates to stay unchanged, and one predicts a 25 bps cumulative rate cut. (Source: FXStreet)

June 18 — Markets are now fully pricing in a 25 basis point interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve by year-end. (Kryptonite)

June 18 — Nick Timiraos, widely known as the “Fed’s Whisperer,” analyzed the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision, pointing out the central bank’s dot plot shows a clear hawkish tilt. Among 18 Fed officials, 9 expect at least one interest rate hike this year, with 6 forecasting multiple increases. By contrast, only one official projects a rate cut this year; additionally, one participant (presumed to be Fed Chair Powell) did not submit their Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). The Fed’s policy statement also underwent a full, comprehensive revision from start to finish, with its text length significantly shortened. Overall, the communication framework for this meeting has undergone a major shift, which may lead to a readjustment in market expectations for the future interest rate path. Source: Kinetic Mind.

June 18: The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 3.50% to 3.75%, marking the fourth consecutive pause in rate hikes — a decision that fully aligned with market expectations. After the Fed released its interest rate announcement, data from Bitget shows spot gold plummeted more than $40 in a short window, while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) surged 35 points rapidly.

June 18: The Federal Reserve removed references to further interest rate adjustments from its latest policy statement. Policymakers voted unanimously to approve this rate decision. Per the Fed’s dot plot, only 18 of the 19 participating officials submitted their individual rate forecasts. (Source: FXStreet)