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Arthur Hayes: Tariff Policy Could Bring Multiple Potential Benefits, Market Signaling Rate Cut and QE Restart Imminent

17 hours ago

On April 4th, Arthur Hayes made a post on social media: "Some investors are concerned. However, I am in favor of tariffs. Global imbalances will ultimately be rectified, and the money printer can alleviate the pain. This is great news for BTC. Tariffs have weakened the US dollar, causing foreign capital to simultaneously sell off US tech stocks and return to their home countries. In the medium term, both BTC and gold will gain. After the tariff announcement, the 2-year US Treasury yield plummeted, indicating that a rate cut and the restart of QE are imminent. Additionally, Japan may need the central bank to inject liquidity into the yen or simply increase QE to depreciate the yen in order to offset the tariffs. All of these are positive factors."
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Google has launched a new AI model, Sec-Gemini V1, aimed at advancing the development of AI for cybersecurity

On April 5th, Google made an announcement about the commencement of the Sec-Gemini V1 model. This is a novel experimental artificial intelligence model developed with the aim of advancing the forefront of cybersecurity in the field of AI. (Golden Ten)

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UK, Italy, and Australia Leaders Agree: Trade War 'Not in Anyone's Interest'

On April 5th, a spokesperson for the Office of the UK Prime Minister stated that on that very day, UK Prime Minister Starmor had a phone conversation with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Italian Prime Minister Mario. Starmor emphasized again that the UK would not be hasty in retaliating against Trump's tariff policies. The spokesperson also pointed out that the UK, Italy, and Australia all hold the view that a trade war "is not in the interest of anyone" (Golden Finance).

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The likelihood of predicting a US economic recession on Kalshi has surged to 62%.

On April 5th, based on Kalshi data, the probability of a US economic recession by 2025 has jumped to 62%, hitting the highest level in several months. This significant rise took place after China imposed a 34% retaliatory tariff on US goods, resulting in escalating global trade tensions following the recent US tariff hikes.

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TikTok Parent Company: Has Engaged with US Government on Possible TikTok Resolution, But No Agreement Yet

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Global Billionaires Lose Nearly $500 Billion in Two Days Following Tariff Announcement

On April 5th, with the ripple effects of President Trump's tariff announcement still causing turmoil in global markets, the Bloomberg Billionaires Index witnessed the largest two-day loss ever endured by the world's 500 richest individuals, approaching $500 billion. Mark Zuckerberg was hit the hardest. The stock of his social media company plummeted by 10%, resulting in a loss of $17.9 billion. Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, closely followed, with his net worth decreasing by $15.9 billion.

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Tesla drops over 10%, Nvidia down nearly 8%

On April 5th, Tesla's stock price experienced a more than 10% intraday drop and was trading at $239.57; Nvidia's stock price decreased by 7.81% and was trading at $93.85.

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