Arthur Hayes: I bet that Bitcoin will surpass $110,000 before retracing to $76,500

On June 15, Garrett Jin, a representative of the BTC OG Whale Insider, shared that back in February, he had predicted a lengthy market downturn that would impact not only cryptocurrencies but a variety of other asset classes. So far, the U.S. stock market is holding steady, oil prices have declined, and it has emerged that cryptocurrencies are the only assets stuck in this prolonged slump.

June 15 — Data from prediction market platform Predict.fun shows that for the 2026 FIFA World Cup matchup between Spain and Cape Verde, set to kick off at 00:00 Beijing Time on June 16, current market pricing gives Cape Verde just a 3% chance of winning. Spain holds a dominant 92% probability of claiming the victory, with a 7% likelihood of a draw between the two teams.

June 15 — Analyst Darkfost says Bitcoin, after hitting a May peak of $82,700, has entered a correction phase, with its recent maximum cumulative drop topping 28%. A few days ago, Bitcoin broke below the key $60,000 psychological support level, reigniting concerns across the market — including among crypto “whales.” As the pullback deepens, whale activity on Binance has jumped significantly: daily BTC inflows to the exchange have exceeded 6,000 coins multiple times, hitting a peak of over 8,000 BTC in early June. Over the past month, whales have transferred an average of 3,200 BTC to Binance daily, up from just 1,200 coins at the end of April — a more than 160% increase in just a few weeks. Darkfost notes this trend suggests many holders are stepping up selling during the recent dip, or at least have a much higher willingness to offload their Bitcoin. While whales are generally viewed as more rational BTC investors, they’re not entirely immune to market pressure. With macroeconomic and

June 15 – Per Bitget market data, Japan’s Nikkei 225 index closed up 3,297.46 points, a 4.99% jump, at 69,317.50 points, hitting a new all-time high. South Korea’s KOSPI index closed 419.8 points higher, a 5.17% increase, finishing at 8,543.42 points. Samsung Electronics rose 4.5% today, while SK Hynix rallied 6.42%.

June 15: U.S. stock futures extended their gains, per market data. Nasdaq 100 Index futures climbed 2%, S&P 500 Index futures advanced 1.3%, and Dow Jones futures rose 1%.

On June 15, Serenity, widely known as the "White-Haired Stock Guru," posted on social media: "I did say that Foosung (stock code: 093370) would emerge as a major beneficiary of export control bottlenecks between China and Japan. While most investors are still targeting a 7.5% index-linked return, Foosung could rally 21% in a single day by capitalizing on this bottleneck opportunity." Per market data, South Korea’s Foosung surged 21% intraday to 22,800 Korean won. It is reported that Foosung is a leading South Korean fluorine chemical firm and a key, low-profile player in the semiconductor materials supply chain. Its core operations focus on manufacturing specialty gases for semiconductors, secondary battery materials, and refrigerants, with fluorine chemicals forming its foundational business. The company is a direct supplier to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix; as a major global provider, its tungsten hexafluoride accounts for roughly 10% of the world’s total supply.