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Arthur Hayes: I bet that Bitcoin will surpass $110,000 before retracing to $76,500

2025.03.24 10:48:17

On March 24th, Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX, posted and stated, "I am confident that Bitcoin will reach a level above $110,000 before it retests $76,500." The reason for this is that the Federal Reserve is shifting from a tightening monetary policy (QT) to quantitative easing (QE), with a focus on government bonds. And tariffs are not significant because of "transitory inflation," as Powell stated.
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A trader is betting on a violent price swing by the end of March, buying a long straddle BTC options combination.

On January 7, on-chain analyst Ai Auntie (@ai_9684xtpa) reported that a trader is betting on a sharp Bitcoin (BTC) volatility spike by late March via options trades on Deribit. The trader purchased 660 BTC call options with a $120,000 strike price (costing ~$860,000) and 660 BTC put options with an $80,000 strike price (costing ~$1.5 million). Both contracts expire on March 27 this year. This is a pure volatility play: the trader profits if BTC sees significant price swings by expiration (up or down) but incurs losses if BTC trades sideways between $80,000 and $120,000. The maximum loss is the total premium paid—~$2.36 million.

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Everstake partners with Cometh to provide crypto staking services to EU institutional clients

Jan. 7 — Chainwire reports that non-custodial staking provider Everstake has partnered with Cometh, a DeFi infrastructure firm holding an EU MiCA license, to offer compliant fiat-to-crypto staking services to EU institutions and corporate clients. Clients can deposit fiat via bank transfer, convert it to crypto assets post-KYC/KYB verification, stake securely with Everstake, and redeem staking rewards in fiat. The partnership streamlines institutional access to Web3 staking.

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Grayscale transferred approximately 1327.81 BTC to Coinbase Prime, worth around $121 million

On January 7, Arkham Data reported that Grayscale collectively transferred approximately 1,327.81 BTC—valued at roughly $121 million—to Coinbase Prime within nearly six minutes.

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On-chain Largest BTC Long Position Adds Long Orders up to $259 Million, Plans to Trigger Take-Profit at $93,300

On January 7, per on-chain analyst Ai’s (@ai_9684xtpa) monitoring, wallet address 0xFB7…5e0A3 has boosted its Bitcoin long position to $259 million, emerging as the largest BTC long holder on Hyperliquid. The address has an average long entry price of $92,318.6, a current unrealized loss of ~$1.982 million, and a liquidation price of $81,157.4. Notably, the address began building a 20x-leveraged BTC long position 5 hours prior and still holds a take-profit limit sell order set at $93,300.

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US Stock Market Opening: Crypto-Related Stocks Experience a General Decline, Strategy Surges Against the Trend by 4.43%

On January 7, Bitget market data shows the three major U.S. stock indices opened slightly higher, while crypto-related stocks declined across the board. Key movers include: - MicroStrategy (MSTR) rose against the broader trend by 4.43% after MSCI decided not to remove the firm from its index; - Coinbase (COIN) declined 2.03%; - Circle (CRCL) dropped 2.8%; - MARA Holdings (MARA) fell 1.4%; - Riot Blockchain (RIOT) declined 2.44%; - Bit Digital Inc. (BTBT) dropped 2.8%; - Sphere 3D Corp. (ANY) fell 2.3%.

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Former Central Bank Official of Brazil Launches BRD Stablecoin Backed by Brazilian Bonds

On January 7, Tony Volpon—former director of Brazil’s Central Bank—announced the launch of the Brazil Debt-Pegged Stablecoin (BRD), a stablecoin pegged to the Brazilian Real that offers a 15% interest rate. The BRD is being issued to boost demand for Brazilian debt and cut the Brazilian government’s borrowing costs.

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