Arthur Hayes: I bet that Bitcoin will surpass $110,000 before retracing to $76,500

March 29 – Per monitoring from HyperInsight (via https://t.me/HyperInsight), as Ethereum dropped below $2,000, Huang Licheng (nicknamed "Brother Ma") held a total long position exceeding $15 million, currently facing a floating loss of over $300,000. Among his positions, the ETH long is valued at $10.87 million, opened at $2,040.64 with a liquidation price of $1,950.33 – putting him at risk of liquidation again.

March 29 — Insider trades strategically placed ahead of major policy announcements during Donald Trump’s second term may have netted some traders millions of dollars in profits, prompting calls for investigations into potential insider trading. Legal experts are urging probes to uphold market fairness, with Reuters reporting suspicious pre-positioned activity across asset classes—including options, commodity futures, and prediction markets—before the Trump administration rolled out key decisions on tariffs, Venezuela, and Iran. Andrew Vollmer, an insider trading expert at UCLA School of Law, noted the trades “look highly suspicious.” While case numbers are limited, he added the patterns align with what would occur if government officials or their associates traded on informational advantages. Eitan Goldman, former head of the CFTC’s Enforcement Division and a federal prosecutor, said such trades typically draw regulatory scrutiny—but commodity market insider trading laws are m

On March 29, El Salvador’s Bitcoin holdings stand at 7605.37 BTC, valued at roughly $506 million, per the country’s Bitcoin Office.

As of March 29, Bitcoin’s monthly return for March stands at -0.76% per Coinglass data—putting the leading cryptocurrency on track for a sixth straight monthly decline. Bitcoin has only seen such a consecutive monthly drop streak once in its history: a 6-month cumulative decline of ~54.8% spanning August 2018 to January 2019. That downturn was followed by 5 straight months of gains (February–June 2019) with total returns reaching 208.1%.

On March 29, Garrett Jin—an agent labeled "BTC OG Insider Whale"—posted that the Easter weekend (April 5–6) is the most likely window for the U.S. to escalate its actions against Iran comprehensively. Timelines, political factors, and military deployments all point to this timeframe; if not then, it’s only a matter of time. Should conflict escalate: U.S. and Israeli forces will launch joint air-land strikes; Congress will adjourn, European markets will close, and by London’s Tuesday open, the global order may have shifted. A war’s chain reaction would trigger: - Effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz (shipping halted due to insurance failures); - Brent crude surging above $120/bbl; - U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rising above 4.6%; - A potential $2.5 trillion wipeout in global bond markets within weeks; - Bank losses approaching 2022 crisis levels; - No clear ceasefire path. The Federal Reserve would face a dilemma: balancing inflation control (requiring rate hik

**March 29 (local time) — Iranian Navy Commander Shahram Irani stated that Iran is actively tracking the location, movements, and requests the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group has made to regional countries. He warned that Iran will launch missiles if the strike group enters Iranian range. (CCTV News)**