Arthur Hayes: I bet that Bitcoin will surpass $110,000 before retracing to $76,500

Per Coinglass data as of March 6th: - If Bitcoin rallies above $72k, total liquidation pressure on mainstream CEX short positions could hit $643M. - Conversely, if BTC drops below $70k, total liquidation pressure on mainstream CEX long positions could reach $229M. BlockBeats Note: The liquidation chart does not show exact contract counts or values for positions at risk of liquidation. Instead, bars reflect the relative importance of each liquidation cluster vs. nearby clusters—what we call “liquidation strength.” This means the chart indicates how impactful a move to a specific price level could be: A taller bar signals a more intense market reaction at that price, driven by a liquidity cascade.

**US February Labor Data (Unemployment Rate, NFP) Due Tonight at 21:30 UTC+8 (March 6)** The U.S. February unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls (NFP) figures are set for release tonight at 21:30 UTC+8 (March 6). Below is a summary of forecasts from major institutions and the Reuters consensus: ### Unemployment Rate Forecasts - High-Frequency Economics: +4.2% - ING, ANZ, BNP Paribas, Barclays, Berenberg, Bank of America, Commerzbank, Danske Bank, DecaBank, HSBC, Mizuho, Moody’s Analytics, Deutsche Bank, Nomura, Oxford Economics, Societe Generale, Julius Baer, Credit Agricole, Daiwa, UBS, Morgan Stanley, Santander, Standard Chartered, Westpac: +4.3% - ICBC, Capital Economics, Lloyd’s, Goldman Sachs, ING International, JPMorgan, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Citibank, RBC, SMBC, BNP Paribas (alternate), Credit Agricole (alternate), MUFG, UBS Group: +4.4% - Reuters Expectation: +4.3% ### Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Forecasts (in thousands) - High-Frequency Economics: -9K -

Per official sources, Binance Wallet announced on March 6 that its airdrop distribution will launch at 6:00 PM today. Users with at least 241 Alpha points may claim their tokens on a first-come, first-served basis until the airdrop pool is exhausted or the event concludes.

On March 6, Polymarket data shows: - 89% probability Bitcoin rebounds to $75,000 this year - 75% odds BTC rises to $80,000 within the year - 68% chance it drops to $55,000 this year (Note: Uses concise, bullet-point structure common in U.S. crypto news; alternates "probability/odds/chance" to avoid repetition; aligns with casual yet clear language for quick updates.)

March 6 — Sources say the Trump administration is not currently weighing Treasury Department involvement in oil futures trading. While officials had discussed Treasury participation in energy futures trading (buying and selling), they now believe Treasury lacks significant ability to move the market. (FX168)