Arthur Hayes: I bet that Bitcoin will surpass $110,000 before retracing to $76,500

According to CNN, an Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) spokesperson said on March 15 that military operations against Iran will continue for at least another three weeks, with thousands of targets still unaddressed. IDF spokesperson Defrin stated: “We still have thousands of targets ahead of us. We’re prepared, coordinating with our U.S. allies, and our operational plan covers at least through the Jewish Passover (roughly three weeks from now). After that, we have plans for an additional three weeks or more of operations.” Defrin noted the IDF is focused on achieving its objectives—not adhering to a timeline—and added Israel’s goal is to “severely weaken the Iranian regime.” (Forex)

March 15 – Per HTX market data, THE has pulled back after a brief push above $0.6 and is now trading at $0.4597, with a 24-hour gain of 66.38%.

On March 15, Michael Saylor—founder of Strategy—once again shared information related to the Bitcoin Tracker. Per past practice, Strategy typically discloses details of its additional Bitcoin holdings the day after releasing such related news.

March 15th: The oil market is bracing for potential sharp swings next week after a U.S. strike on Iran’s key oil export hub, Kharg Island—ramping up concerns over Middle East supply disruptions. U.S. President Trump warned that attacks on energy infrastructure could escalate further if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, while Tehran threatened retaliation against U.S.-linked energy facilities. Brent crude jumped 11% last week, briefly hitting $119.50 a barrel amid escalating tensions. Analysts expect oil price volatility to rise further as the status of Kharg Island remains uncertain. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is nearly at a standstill. The waterway handles a large share of global oil shipments; blockages here would squeeze global energy supplies and push fuel prices higher worldwide.

On March 15, OKX founder and CEO Star addressed the "hacker attack incident by the Wuhan Anjun Technology team exploiting plugin vulnerabilities." He clarified two key points: 1. The incident does **not** stem from a security vulnerability in the OKX Web3 Wallet. Instead, hackers compromised users’ devices via trojan horse software, tampered with webpage JS code to implant malicious hooks, or monitored keyboard inputs to steal locally stored encryption files and passwords. 2. The OKX Web3 Wallet is a **fully self-hosted wallet**—private keys and passwords only reside on the user’s own device, and OKX has no access to or control over user assets. If a user’s device is already compromised, no wallet (including MetaMask) can guarantee security; this is analogous to a thief being able to operate your computer and view all your keyboard inputs. Users are advised to: avoid installing software/plugins from unknown sources, regularly check devices for security risks, and safeguard the

March 15 — South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb has received a pre-notice from the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) that it faces a 6-month partial business suspension for violating anti-money laundering (AML) obligations under the Specific Financial Information Act, along with a CEO accountability warning. South Korean financial authorities will convene an AML sanctions review committee on March 16 to finalize the penalty. The expected penalty would exceed the prior enforcement against Upbit operator Dunamu, which was fined 35.2 billion South Korean won and ordered a 3-month partial suspension for similar violations. Due to Bithumb’s larger scale of non-compliance, the industry widely predicts its fine will set a historic high. Bithumb noted it is currently in the pre-notification phase and will fully detail its improvement efforts through subsequent formal procedures.