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Jiang Zhuoer: The market is deeply divided over the interest rate decision, and we need to watch out for the "FOMC Curse" effect.

1 hours ago

Jiang Zhuoer, founder of BTC mining pool BTC.TOP, stated in a post that with the U.S. Federal Reserve’s FOMC interest rate decision meeting just 5 hours away, there remains a massive divergence in market pricing on rate hikes: 65% expect no hike, while 35% predict a hike. Typically, futures market pricing aligns closely on the eve of such meetings, making this level of disagreement extremely rare in recent years—an "outlier" level of divergence. Jiang’s personal forecast scenario is: the Fed will hold interest rates steady, but Fed Governor Waller will adopt a hawkish stance to balance the market. The crypto price will first surge to liquidate short positions, then plunge to liquidate long positions. Additionally, Jiang warned to watch out for the "FOMC curse" effect in the crypto market, noting that Bitcoin has fallen following all 8 past FOMC meetings.

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