Analysis: The US stock market bubble could exceed the level seen in 1929, the S&P 500 may face an extreme correction, and gold and silver have become safe-haven assets.
1 hours ago
Senior macroeconomist and Goldmoney Head of Research Alasdair Macleod has warned that the current valuation bubble in U.S. stocks may have exceeded the level seen on the eve of the 1929 Great Depression, and financial markets are facing the risk of an "ultimate total crash." Macleod noted that imbalances in the U.S. Treasury market, reduced allocations by overseas buyers, and rising U.S. debt pressure could push Treasury yields higher, ultimately weighing on U.S. stock valuations. He argued that if market confidence reverses, the S&P 500 could face a value drawdown of more than 90%. The U.S. debt pile continues to rise, and the country may face $10 trillion to $11 trillion in financing and refinancing pressures over the next 12 months. With fewer buyers for U.S. Treasuries, the Federal Reserve may be forced to expand its balance sheet and print money to stabilize markets, further eroding the purchasing power of fiat currencies. Macleod believes modern financial assets are inherently dependent on credit systems; stocks, bank deposits, and U.S. dollar cash all carry counterparty risk to some degree, while gold and silver, as physical assets not reliant on government credit, could serve as safe-haven choices in extreme financial risk environments.
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