Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes: Policymakers Divided on Whether to Cut Interest Rates in December
On November 20th, the minutes of the Fed meeting revealed that policymakers were divided regarding whether to support the rate cut decision at the current meeting and whether a rate cut in December was justified. Several participants indicated that, based on their current outlook, keeping rates unchanged for the rest of the year would be appropriate. Meanwhile, many officials also anticipated a rate cut in December. (FXStreet)
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Fed Meeting Minutes: Several participants emphasized the possibility of a disorderly stock market selloff
On November 20th, the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting indicated that several participants emphasized the potential for a disorderly decline in the stock market, particularly in the case of a sudden re-evaluation of the outlook related to AI.
The SOMA (System Open Market Account) manager proposed that the Federal Reserve should promptly stop asset tapering because excessive volatility in the repo market would pose risks to the Fed's rate control and the Treasury market. (Golden Ten)
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A whale's 17,804 ETH long position has been liquidated, with a realized loss of over $10 million in the past two months
On November 20th, according to MLM Monitor, a whale address that had been maintaining a large long position in ETH for more than three weeks and had been continuously increasing its position through a martingale strategy during the downturn was liquidated. The address held a long position of 17,804 ETH (worth $51.5 million). Since the end of September, the two accounts of this whale have suffered a total loss of more than $10 million.
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The Fed's December Rate Cut Expectation Significantly Cooled Down, With No Key Data Available Before the Officials' Meeting
On November 20th. The U.S. Labor Department declared that it will not put out the October employment report. This led traders to anticipate that the Federal Reserve is more prone to pause its rate cut at the December policy meeting.
After the U.S. Labor Department verified that there was an insufficient amount of data to release the report, a wave of selling emerged in the federal funds futures market. Traders decreased their expectations of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 10th meeting. They currently expect the Fed to maintain the benchmark interest rate within the range of 3.75% to 4%. The swap market linked to the Fed's policy rate is currently pricing in a rate cut of only 6 basis points for the December meeting, with a cumulative rate cut of only 19 basis points by January.
Prior to Wednesday, the swap market was pricing in an 11-basis-point cut, which was equivalent to a fifty-fifty chance of the Fed cutting rates over the next three weeks. Leah Traub, the portfolio m
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If Bitcoin falls below $88,000, the mainstream CEX long liquidation volume will reach $563 million.
On November 20th, based on Coinglass data, if Bitcoin drops below $88,000, the cumulative intensity of long liquidation on mainstream CEXs will reach 563 million.
Conversely, if Bitcoin surges above $91,000, the cumulative intensity of short liquidation on mainstream CEXs will reach 745 million.
**BlockBeats Note**: The liquidation chart does not disclose the exact number of contracts to be liquidated or the exact value of the contracts being liquidated. The bars on the liquidation chart actually represent the significance of each liquidation cluster in relation to neighboring liquidation clusters, that is, intensity.
Therefore, the liquidation chart shows to what degree the price of the underlying asset will be impacted when it reaches a certain level. A higher "liquidation bar" indicates that the price will experience a more pronounced reaction due to a surge in liquidity.
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