Next Week Macro Outlook: Non-Farm CPI Overlapping with US-Iran Negotiations, Japan Election, Crypto Market to Face Ultimate Test
This week (Feb 7), the cryptocurrency market extended its losses, though it staged a brief rebound Friday. Fragile investor sentiment will face fresh tests next week as key macro events and data flood the calendar—including U.S.-Iran talks, Japan’s general election, U.S. nonfarm payrolls (NFP) and CPI. Here’s the breakdown:
### Macro Data & Fed Speeches
- **Tue 00:00 ET**: U.S. January New York Fed 1-year forward inflation expectations
- **Tue 02:30 ET**: Fed Governor Waller to speak on digital assets
- **Tue 04:15 ET**: Atlanta Fed President Bostic (2027 FOMC voter) to discuss monetary policy & economic outlook
- **Tue 21:30 ET**: U.S. Dec retail sales (MoM); Q4 labor cost index (QoQ); Dec import price index (MoM)
- **Wed 01:00 ET**: Cleveland Fed President Mester (2026 FOMC voter) to speak on “Banking & Economic Outlook”
- **Wed 02:00 ET**: Dallas Fed President Kaplan (2026 FOMC voter) to speak
- **Wed 21:30 ET**: U.S. Jan unemployment rate; NFP (seasonally adjusted,
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Kalshi Discloses Giannis Antetokounmpo Stake Is Less Than 1%
On February 7, The Block reported that a Kalshi spokesperson confirmed NBA Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo (the "Greek Freak") owns less than a 1% stake in Kalshi. The deal was signed this past Thursday, February 5—NBA trade deadline day.
Based on Kalshi’s recent $11 billion valuation, a 1% stake in the company is valued at $110 million.
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Solana Ecosystem Meme Coin Buttcoin Market Cap Hits New High Against the Trend, Diamond-Handed Whale Realizes Over $500,000 in Unrealized Gains
Feb. 7 — Per GMGN market data (via
gmgn.ai), Solana-based meme coin Buttcoin surged countertrend to a new high today. Its market cap briefly topped $45 million before paring gains, currently sitting at $40.61 million — representing a nearly 425.3% jump over the past week.
A deep dive into the token’s top holder addresses reveals the second-largest holder accumulated their position when the coin’s market cap hovered near $7 million: they invested $95,000, never sold, and now hold an unrealized gain of $506,700.
BlockBeats reminds users that meme coin trading is extremely volatile, largely driven by market sentiment and hype cycles, with no underlying value or practical use case. Investors are advised to exercise caution.
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Ernst & Young: Banks Must 'Hold Wallet' or Risk Losing Customers, Smart Wallets Could Replace Bank Accounts
Per CoinDesk: On February 7, Ernst & Young (EY)—one of the Big Four accounting firms—warned in its latest report that as smart wallets grow in popularity, traditional bank accounts are losing their status as customers’ primary touchpoints.
The report noted that if financial institutions fail to “own the wallet” (i.e., control this key customer entry point integrating identity verification, asset management, and payment functions), they risk losing customer relationships and could ultimately be reduced to little more than backend infrastructure providers.
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Opinion: This Crypto Bear Market Is Not Caused by a Single Factor, 15 Major Factors Combined to Drive the Downtrend
**February 7**
Renowned Argentine economist and senior crypto trader Alex Krüger took to social media to state the current crypto bear market isn’t driven by a single factor. He outlined 15 key catalysts fueling the sharp downturn, including the “1011” mass liquidation, cooling U.S. Treasury and corporate stock markets, quantum threats, the AI substitution effect (capital, talent and mining firms shifting to AI), political risks tied to Trump, a lack of innovation in the crypto space, oversupply of new tokens, and Powell’s nomination as the new Fed chair, among others.
Smart contract pioneer and Castle Island Ventures co-founder Nic Carter endorsed Krüger’s view. Carter argued the bear market shouldn’t be blamed on one event, as many of the 15 factors cited are highly complex.
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