The U.S. Senate Banking Committee Advances the "Financial Transparency and Regulatory Compliance Act"

The size of U.S. national debt has risen to around $39 trillion, with public debt equivalent to the total U.S. GDP. Annual interest payments have reached roughly $1 trillion, exceeding the defense budget. The U.S. Treasury system traces its origins to the debt consolidation reform promoted by Alexander Hamilton in 1790, when the federal government assumed the war debts of individual states and promised full repayment, thereby establishing the U.S. credit system and laying the foundation for the global status of the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasuries. Today, U.S. Treasuries are regarded as one of the core assets of the global financial system, underpinning the reserve currency status of the U.S. dollar and widely held by central banks and financial institutions worldwide. However, as the debt scale continues to expand, market concerns about its long-term sustainability have intensified. According to calculations from the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton Budget Model (PWBM), when the debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds around 210%, the fiscal system may face unsustainability risks. Currently, the U.S. ratio stands at roughly 100%, and the U.S. Congressional Budget Office projects it could rise to 175% by 2056. Analysts note that in scenarios of rising healthcare spending and persistent fiscal deficits, this risk threshold could be reached earlier, and the long-term stability of the debt structure is facing more stringent market and policy tests.

According to CNN, mourning events for late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei are ongoing in Tehran and multiple Iranian cities, drawing an estimated millions of participants, and will run through July 9. Meanwhile, the international community is uncertain about his successor. Reports indicate his son Mojtaba Khamenei has not made a public appearance, sparking concerns over the power transition and actual governance. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has also warned of security threats targeting the country in the coming days. On the regional front, abnormal shipping activity has been observed in the Strait of Hormuz, with multiple vessels turning back while attempting to transit, and the situation remains uncertain. Separately, U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have held a phone call and agreed to meet in the U.S. soon, with outside attention focused on further coordination between the two countries amid tensions with Iran.

Bitcoin rose above $63,000 earlier today for the first time in two weeks, up roughly 3.6% from last week and nearly erasing losses from late June. The rally unfolded during thin trading volume for the U.S. Independence Day holiday, with low liquidity widely seen as amplifying short-term volatility. Among major cryptocurrencies, XRP gained 5.3% to reach $1.18, notching a nearly 10% weekly rise and lifting its market cap to around $73 billion, overtaking USDC to become the fifth-largest crypto asset. On-chain data shows XRP holders’ average losses have hit an extreme historical level, leading some traders to view this as a sentiment reversal signal. Ether (ETH) climbed 3.2% to approximately $1,793, with a weekly gain of ~11.5%; Dogecoin (DOGE) rose 2.6%; Solana (SOL) added around 13.2% week-over-week, extending the broader rebound trend. Analysts attribute the rally to Federal Reserve officials signaling easing inflation pressure, weaker non-farm payroll data, and short covering, with Bitcoin bouncing rapidly from below $60,000 to above $63,000. The market’s future trajectory will hinge on upcoming U.S. inflation data and the return of institutional liquidity after the holiday.

Blockchain trading and payments firm BTSE Group recently launched cryptocurrency trading platform BTSE Indonesia in Jakarta via a joint venture with PT Aset Kripto Internasional, and completed the rebranding of local licensed platform NVX. It is understood that BTSE will provide trading infrastructure and liquidity support, while the local Indonesian team will handle marketing, business partnerships, sales, and user growth. BTSE Indonesia stated that it has received approval from Indonesia’s Financial Services Authority (OJK) to operate as a regulated digital financial asset trading platform. The license is also expected to support its future expansion into cryptocurrency futures and other businesses in compliance with local regulatory requirements. Official data shows that Indonesia’s cryptocurrency trading volume from January to November 2024 reached 556.5 trillion Indonesian rupiah (equivalent to approximately $31.2 billion), with registered cryptocurrency users hitting 22.11 million as of November 2024.

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs posted a cumulative net outflow of roughly $527 million over the four trading days ending July 2, marking their eighth consecutive week of net outflows and setting the longest weekly outflow streak since the product category launched. While the sector recorded a single-day net inflow of $221.72 million on July 2, ending a prior streak of 10 consecutive trading days with total outflows of around $2.71 billion, the overall weekly outflow trend remained unreversed. Among the products, Fidelity’s FBTC saw a single-day net inflow of $165.96 million, while ARKB (from ARK and 21Shares) posted a net inflow of $91.84 million. In contrast, BlackRock’s IBIT logged a net outflow of $40.43 million that day, marking its 11th consecutive trading day of redemptions, with total outflows reaching roughly $2.2 billion. Separately, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a weekly net outflow of $13.67 million for the week ending July 2, extending their streak of weekly net outflows to eight consecutive weeks and matching the all-time longest outflow streak. However, the sector has posted net inflows for two consecutive trading days, with BlackRock’s ETHA notching a $29.74 million net inflow on July 2. Meanwhile, U.S. Hyperliquid ETFs saw a weekly net inflow of $4.32 million, the lowest single-week inflow since their launch in mid-May, a sharp slowdown from the prior week’s record $111.36 million net inflow.

According to on-chain data, since the launch of Trump’s official meme coin TRUMP in January 2025, among roughly 1.48 million wallets that purchased the token, 988,900 (about two-thirds) were in a loss position as of the end of June, with total realized and unrealized losses amounting to around $3.81 billion. Data shows only 492,300 wallets turned a profit, with total gains of approximately $4.04 billion, primarily concentrated among early participants who bought the token at prices below $1 during its launch phase. Calculated across all token-holding wallets, the overall net profit stood at roughly $236 million. Reports note that Trump’s recently disclosed annual financial statements show he earned around $636 million from the TRUMP meme coin, with total crypto-related revenue exceeding $1.4 billion in 2025. Additionally, Nansen’s analysis of WLFI—the governance token of Trump family’s DeFi project World Liberty Financial—reveals that among the 26,663 wallets that purchased WLFI on the secondary market, roughly 85% have recorded losses totaling around $83 million, while total gains stand at approximately $23 million.