Analysts say Tesla and SpaceX could merge in 2027, though they still face regulatory hurdles.
3 hours ago
According to CNN, after SpaceX goes public, the market is closely watching whether Elon Musk will push for a merger between SpaceX and Tesla. Tesla will release its earnings report after U.S. stock market close on Wednesday, followed by an investor call, where Musk may offer more clues about the future relationship between the two firms. JPMorgan analyst Rajat Gupta said that strategically, a merger would align the two companies’ visions, engineering management, and AI operations. The two firms already established a joint venture named Terafab in March this year to build a chip factory in Austin, Texas. Tech analyst Dan Ives estimates the likelihood of a Tesla-SpaceX merger by 2027 is over 80%, though this is only his personal view. If merged, the combined entity could reach a valuation of around $3 trillion, comparable in size to Microsoft. The merger could also boost Musk’s control over Tesla; he currently holds more than 80% of SpaceX’s voting rights, while his stake in Tesla is roughly 20%. However, the potential deal still faces regulatory hurdles. Gupta pointed out that Tesla has a large factory in China and generates a significant portion of its sales and profits there, while SpaceX maintains close ties with the U.S. government. Additionally, both companies’ valuations are heavily reliant on market confidence in Musk, and merging would concentrate related risks.
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