International crude oil prices continue to rise, while vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz drops to its lowest point in three weeks.
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International crude oil prices have continued to rise recently, with Brent crude hitting $86.75 and WTI crude at $82.33, after both benchmarks fell to near the $70 mark. Data released by international market services firm Kpler on the 17th shows that shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz remained weak on the 16th, with the number of vessels transiting the strait dropping to 8 that day, the lowest level in nearly three weeks. Of the 8 vessels that passed through the Strait of Hormuz that day, 7 chose to use the northern lane near Iran, reflecting that shipping companies are re-assessing regional security conditions, crew safety and insurance risks, leading to further concentration of vessel traffic in this lane. Meanwhile, crude oil futures notched double-digit gains this week. Another factor stoking tensions is the potential for Houthi forces in Yemen to take actions that could block Red Sea shipping; Saudi Arabia has been diverting crude exports to the Red Sea in the event of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Barclays analyst Amarpreet Singh stated in a report: "With inventories at multi-year lows and most strategic petroleum reserve releases already completed, renewed tensions over the Strait’s 'red line' pose significant upside risks to energy prices. For now, we believe the oil market is still too complacent about potential inventory impacts."
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