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Analysis: Strategy Makes First Large-Scale BTC Sell in Five Years, No Excessive Panic Seen in the Market

2 hours ago

Crypto Quant analyst Axel Adler Jr noted in a post that Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) recently sold 3,588 Bitcoin (BTC) worth approximately $216 million, marking the company’s largest-ever BTC sale. No significant market selloff followed, with BTC prices remaining around $63,000. This is Strategy’s first large-scale net BTC sale since December 2022. The sale was completed in two batches: 1,363 BTC sold between June 29 and 30 at an average price of ~$59,256, generating $80.8 million; and 2,225 BTC sold between July 1 and 5 at an average of ~$60,773, netting $135.2 million, for total proceeds of ~$216 million. The funds will primarily be used to cover preferred stock obligations and replenish USD reserves, and do not represent a shift in Strategy’s long-term Bitcoin strategy. The company currently holds approximately 843,775 BTC, with USD reserves of ~$2.55 billion. The sale accounts for only ~0.4% of its BTC holdings, positioning it as a liquidity management move rather than a reduction signal. In derivatives markets, the sale news sharply cooled Bitcoin futures sentiment: the Composite Market Index fell from ~80 (bullish territory) on July 6 to 32.6 (bearish zone), near 20, indicating leveraged funds are turning defensive. BTC’s price reaction was limited, remaining above its 30-day fair value. Markets view the sale as a passive liquidity operation, not a systemic exit from Bitcoin by Strategy. The current market is in a "neutral to cautious" state: prices remain relatively stable, but derivatives positions have weakened significantly. If the Composite Market Index rebounds above 55, market risk appetite may recover; if it stays below 45 long-term, BTC could further drop below its fair value.

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