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Analyst: From Advisor Picks to Inflation Gauge, Powell May Reveal Fed Overhaul Hand at First Presser

1 hours ago

June 17 — CNN reporter Bryan Mena notes that while Powell hasn’t been able to deliver the interest rate cut Trump demanded single-handedly, he’s made it clear the Federal Reserve (Fed) is abandoning business as usual. Powell has brought on two conservative policy veterans as interim advisors to the central bank: Paul Winfree and Daniel Haile. He’s also pointed to “a large number of redundant personnel” at the Fed, hinting at a potential major reshuffle of the roughly 3,000 employees based at the Fed’s Washington, D.C., headquarters. Powell launched a downsizing process last year to align with similar moves across the broader U.S. federal government. On the inflation front, Powell has proposed Fed officials rethink how they measure inflation, shifting focus to the “trimmed mean” inflation indicator. During his April confirmation hearing, he explained these metrics capture “the underlying inflation rate, not one-off price swings from geopolitical events or changes in beef prices.” With his new advisors now in place, talks about “institutional reform” at the Fed are already underway. Powell’s upcoming press conference is expected to mark the first time he clearly signals how far he intends to reshape the Federal Reserve.
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SpaceX is currently valued at twice the market cap of Bitcoin, making it the fifth largest company in the world.

June 17: SpaceX (SPCX) has surged over 49% since its IPO on June 12. The company is currently valued at approximately $2.658 trillion, making it the world’s fifth-largest public firm—double the $1.301 trillion market cap of Bitcoin.

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European Central Bank President Warns AI Could Pose Financial Crisis Risk

June 17 – European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde warned Wednesday that artificial intelligence (AI) could potentially spark a financial crisis, and the central bank is committed to preventing that from happening. “Even with a solid regulatory framework, we can’t halt AI development,” Lagarde said. “What we can do is prepare.” She added that the real risk isn’t AI itself, but the upheaval that could unfold when this disruptive new variable enters the real world. “In modern history, there’s one force that has destroyed jobs and eroded savings on a scale unmatched by any technological innovation—and that force is a financial crisis,” Lagarde noted. “As these systems grow more powerful, they’re increasingly permeating the economy.” Next, the ECB will send letters to major bank CEOs to ensure they’re ready for AI-related risks and have sufficient resilience. Addressing these risks will require substantial investment, the central bank acknowledges. Lagarde also emphasi

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Due to the Plasma One launch news, XPL surged over 15% briefly

June 17 — Per HTX market data, XPL surged over 15% in a short period following Plasma One’s launch announcement, and is now trading at $0.107. As previously reported, Plasma has officially launched its stablecoin-native digital banking app, Plasma One. Users who join within the next seven days will receive a free one-year Core membership, valued at over $1,000.

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Predict.fun World Cup Group Stage "Portugal vs Democratic Republic of the Congo": The Legion of Five Shields has a 77% win rate

June 17 — Data from prediction market platform Predict.fun indicates a 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage match (held as part of the tournament co-hosted by the U.S., Canada, and Mexico) will kick off at 1 a.m. Beijing time on June 18, pitting Portugal against the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). In the platform’s latest odds, Portugal is pegged with a 77% win probability, the DRC holds an 8% chance of claiming a victory, and a draw is priced at 18%. The market has shown strong support for Portugal, a traditional soccer powerhouse known as the "Five Shields Legion."

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HTX DeepThink: Warsh Debut, Crypto Market Faces Key Policy Test

June 17 – Chloe, a columnist for HTX DeepThink and research analyst at HTX, notes that this week’s crypto market has shifted its core focus from mere price rebounds to repricing the Federal Reserve’s policy path. The upcoming FOMC rate decision and dot plot will act as a critical watershed for short-term risk assets. While markets widely expect the Fed to hold rates steady in the 3.50% to 3.75% range, what will actually move the needle isn’t whether there’s a hike this time—rather, it’s whether the dot plot shows no further rate cuts penciled in for 2026, or if even a subset of Fed officials are leaning toward additional hikes. This shift means the macro environment is moving away from the “waiting-for-rate-cuts trade” and toward a pricing framework of “higher-for-longer rates, or even renewed tightening”—a dynamic that doesn’t bode well for crypto. The recent rebound in some altcoins and high-beta assets has been fundamentally built on the market’s advance bet on improving liquidity.

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CME Group: Terry Duffy to Step Down as CEO, Transition to Executive Chairman

June 17: CME Group announced that Terry Duffy will step down as chief executive officer (CEO) and take over as executive chairman.

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