This Week's Macro Outlook: US-Iran Agreement Sets Bullish Tone, US and Japan Interest Rate Decisions Test Bull Market, Powell's "Debut" Worth Watching
June 15. At the start of this week, the U.S.-Iran deal appeared to signal the continuation of the U.S. stock market’s bull run, with markets opening higher to welcome the positive news. However, midweek, the market will shift its focus to interest rate decisions from several major central banks, along with Fed Chair Powell’s first key speech since taking office. Investors expect him to deliver clear signals on the outlook for interest rate paths and reforms to the Fed’s communication framework. Below are the key points the market will watch in the new week (all times in Beijing time):
Monday: 15:15 — ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech.
Tuesday: (Time TBD) Bank of Japan announces its interest rate decision; at 14:30, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya holds a monetary policy press conference.
Tuesday, 20:15 — U.S. ADP Employment Change for the week ending May 30.
Thursday: 02:00 — Fed FOMC announces interest rate decision and economic projections; at 02:30, Fed Chai
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Cardano Founder Responds to Controversy Over $70 Million Bitcoin Transaction: Audit Fee Paid in 2016
June 15 — The crypto project Cardano is mired in controversy following a discovery by Thomas Braziel, an investor focused on bankruptcy claims and digital assets. Braziel found via company documents and on-chain records that roughly 1,090 Bitcoin from Cardano’s crowdfunding round has an unknown whereabouts.
These Bitcoins were originally allocated to an Isle of Man entity—an early predecessor structure of the Cardano Foundation, which was dissolved in December 2025. In a post on X, Braziel questioned Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, who was an early participant in that Isle of Man entity: What happened to this Bitcoin (now worth around $70 million) after the entity dissolved? Who controls the funds now? And is the situation transparent?
Hoskinson responded during an AMA yesterday, stating the Bitcoin was used to cover audit fees for the 2016 crowdfunding sale, when the BTC was only valued at $454,000. Now, Braziel is requesting additional evidence from Hoskinson to validate this cl
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The Venus Attacker Sells 1912 ETH to Repay Loan, Still Owes 6.78 million USDT on Aave
June 15 – Per PeckShield’s on-chain monitoring, the attacker behind March’s Venus THE collateral liquidation event sold 1912 ETH one hour ago, exchanging it for $3.26 million in USDT to settle their outstanding loan on Aave.
Back in March, this attacker had collateralized ETH to borrow 9.92 million stablecoins via Aave. They then purchased THE, deposited it into Venus to borrow additional assets, and ultimately dumped THE – a move that triggered the liquidation of their THE collateral on the Venus protocol.
As of now, the attacker still holds $6.78 million in USDT outstanding on Aave.
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「BFF」 Missed the Rebound Last Night and Urgently Increased Position at Morning High
On June 15, HyperInsight monitoring shows that a crypto "whale" reduced its holdings by 350 ETH overnight, missing the strong rebound sparked by positive news this morning. The whale aggressively bought the dip to cover its position amid the morning's dip, and as of press time, it holds a total of 6,000 ETH in a 25x leveraged long position, with a liquidation price of $1,678.77.
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90% Win Rate Whale Shorting 17,000 ETH at All-Time High
June 15 – According to Whale Alert, a crypto whale with a 90% win rate (9 wins, 1 loss) on ETH trades shorted 17,000 ETH at $1,717.8 two hours after ETH’s latest price surge. The short position is valued at $29.36 million, though the whale is now facing an unrealized loss of $140,000.
Since June 10, this whale has executed 10 ETH trades overall, maintaining that same 90% success rate to pocket a total profit of $4.91 million, equivalent to a 164% return.
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