Iran and Oman Hold Talks to Discuss Various Options to Ensure Navigation in the Strait of Hormuz
On April 5th, Oman’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced via social media that it held deputy ministerial-level talks with Iran on Saturday, April 4th, to discuss measures ensuring smooth ship passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
Per PolyBeats data, the probability the Strait of Hormuz reopens to shipping this month has steadily fallen from its peak to 12% on the prediction platform Polymarket.
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Metaplanet: Respecting JPX's Decision to Postpone Inclusion of DAT Company in Index, Will Actively Engage in Public Advocacy
April 5: Simon Gerovich, CEO of Metaplanet—Japan’s largest Bitcoin custodian—announced that the Japan Exchange Group (JPX) has launched a public consultation and plans to exclude companies with “cryptocurrency as their primary asset” from its index for now. Metaplanet respects this process and says it will actively join the public discussion.
Metaplanet stresses its founding mission: to give Japanese investors a transparent, compliant way to indirectly hold Bitcoin via Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed firms. It goes beyond just holding Bitcoin, though—actively building real-world businesses through its “Project Nova” initiative, partnering with industry players, and advancing Japan’s Bitcoin ecosystem. To date, over 216,000 Japanese shareholders back this mission.
The company pledges to maintain constructive dialogues with all stakeholders—including JPX—in hopes of deepening the market’s understanding of Bitcoin and Metaplanet’s role in Japan’s financial future.
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Hong Kong Financial Secretary: In the first quarter, the financing of listed platforms exceeded HK$103 billion, with emerging industries such as artificial intelligence flocking to Hong Kong
On April 5, 2026, the Financial Secretary of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) Government released an essay reviewing Q1 2026, noting Hong Kong’s trading market was robust.
January and February saw average daily turnover hit over HK$260 billion—marking a 17% year-over-year jump. Activity picked up further in March, with daily Hong Kong stock turnover topping HK$300 billion (an over 8% rise from the same period in 2025).
Investors have boosted asset allocations in Hong Kong, citing the city as a reliable fund haven, plus stable mainland economic growth and a stream of high-quality listed companies offering abundant investment opportunities.
Meanwhile, global competition in cutting-edge tech (like AI) has intensified, demanding significant funding for core R&D, supply chain development, and expanding application scenarios. Hong Kong’s listing platform is stepping up to play a critical role here.
The city’s IPO market carried over last year’s momentum into Q1
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Analysis: BTC Loss-Chasing Chips have an average cost of 93,600 USD, with many underwater positions at high prices already panic sold.
April 5th: On-chain analyst Murphy noted that the average cost basis of all Bitcoin (BTC) unrealized loss positions has fallen below $100,000, currently sitting at $93,600. This means BTC returning to $93,000 would hit the market’s average breakeven point.
During the two sharp selloffs in late 2023 and early 2024, a wave of high-level trapped positions chose to cut losses and exit—lowering the overall average cost of unrealized loss positions. This is commonly known as a "shakeout."
Additionally, the 30-day average deviation coefficient between the average cost of loss positions and current BTC price stands at 1.4. For the past three bear market bottoms, this coefficient was at least above 2.0 (see blue waveform below). A coefficient ≥2.0 signals the market has entered the absolute bottom range.
Currently, BTC’s price is less than 50% of the average cost of loss positions. To meet the 2.0+ coefficient threshold, this cycle’s BTC low would need to drop to $46,800. However, hist
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Santiment: Bitcoin Social Sentiment Hits Five-Week High of Bearishness, Surge in Bearishness Foretells Market Reversal
On April 5th, cryptocurrency market research firm Santiment reported that Bitcoin’s recent bearish sentiment on social media has hit a five-week high.
This past Saturday, the ratio of bullish to bearish comments in Bitcoin-related social discussions stood at 0.81—meaning roughly 4 bullish comments for every 5 bearish ones. This is the lowest reading since February 28th, reflecting a sharp rise in fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) within the community.
Santiment analysts noted that elevated FUD often signals a potential market reversal, as the cryptocurrency market tends to move counter to mainstream expectations. Instead, the surge in bearish sentiment is viewed as a potential bullish signal, indicating the price may “turn more positive than expected” sooner rather than later.
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A Whale Purportedly Sells 1856 ETH, Loses $1.89 Million
April 5th – On-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa) reports that address 0xB7C…467Ec deposited 1856 ETH (~$3.78 million) into OKX 45 minutes ago, with the move suspected to be a sell-off.
Notably, $14.5 million worth of ETH from this address was withdrawn from a CEX at a short-term high of $3,339.38 on January 18th; selling this batch would result in a $1.89 million loss.
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