Federal Reserve April Rate Hike Probability Dropped to 4.1%

March 29 – Starting today, several European countries have begun daylight saving time. Key notes: - European financial markets’ trading hours will be one hour earlier than their standard-time schedules. - Effective next Monday, European stock markets will trade from 15:00 to 23:30 Beijing Time. - Economic data releases from European nations will also shift one hour earlier than standard-time release times. (FX678)

As of March 29, Coinglass data shows that if Bitcoin drops below $65,000, cumulative long liquidations across major centralized exchanges (CEX) will total $743 million. Conversely, if Bitcoin rises above $68,000, cumulative short liquidations on these major CEX will reach $621 million. BlockBeats Note: Liquidation charts do not display the exact number or value of contracts being liquidated. Instead, the bars reflect how significant each liquidation cluster is relative to adjacent clusters — i.e., its "strength." This means the chart indicates how strongly the underlying asset’s price will react when it hits a specific level: a taller bar signals a more intense price response driven by a liquidity cascade once that threshold is reached.

As of March 29th, per analyst @alicharts, key support levels for Ethereum stand at $1,881, $1,584, and $1,238, while resistance levels sit at $2,029 and $2,079.

March 29 – Iranian sources reported Wednesday that Ali Larijani, Speaker of Iran’s Islamic Consultative Assembly, said the U.S. is publicly discussing negotiations while secretly planning a ground attack. Larijani stated Iran’s armed forces are “waiting” for a U.S. ground incursion and will “punish” its regional allies. Earlier, U.S. reports indicated the Pentagon is preparing for “weeks-long ground operations” in Iran. It remains unclear to what extent U.S. President Trump will approve the Pentagon’s action plan. (CCTV News)

**CryptoQuant Analyst Darkfost: BTC’s Adjusted Realized Price (~$72.5k) Acts as Resistance** On March 29, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated: “BTC has yet to reclaim its realized price excluding long-term inactive supply. Excluding Bitcoin held for over 7 years—filtering out lost coins and ‘diamond hands’ with long-term inactive holdings—better reflects actual circulating supply. Under this adjustment, BTC’s realized price is ~$72,500, currently acting as a resistance level.” BTC has traded below this level for roughly two months. In every prior bear market cycle, BTC stayed below this cost basis for 6–10 months without effectively reclaiming the level in that period. Should this pattern hold, BTC could face continued pressure in the coming months, with prices likely staying below $72,500.

**March 29th — On-chain analyst Ai Auntie (@ai_9684xtpa) reports the Trump team is suspected of selling over $16.06 million worth of TRUMP tokens.** **In the past two hours, BitGo’s custody address transferred 5.48 million TRUMP to OKX. Tracing the funds reveals the address received 18.14 million TRUMP from the Trump Team Allocation address (the team’s share) two months ago — that amount was valued at $81.64 million at the time.**