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Trump's Pre-Tweet, Crude Oil Sees Unusual Sell-Off: 6 Million Barrels of Futures Sold in Advance, Suspected "Mickey Mouse Operation" Triggers Manipulation Concerns

2 hours ago

**March 24: ICE Data Shows Abnormal Crude Futures Activity Preceded Trump’s Iran Tweet-Driven Oil Volatility** Before U.S. President Donald Trump’s Iran-related tweet sparked sharp international oil price swings, the crude futures market already saw notable abnormal activity—with large-scale short selling concentrated in a window closely aligned with the tweet’s timing, raising questions about potential wash trades or insider trading, per ICE data. Data shows that between 6:49 and 6:51 a.m. ET Monday (a two-minute window), at least 6 million barrels’ worth of crude futures contracts (covering Brent and WTI benchmarks) were dumped en masse. By contrast, the five-day average trading volume in the same window was just ~700 contracts (≈70,000 barrels)—making the recent trade nearly 9x larger. Roughly 14 minutes later, at 7:05 a.m. ET, Trump posted about the Iran situation. Sentiment shifted immediately, pushing crude’s intraday price down by as much as 14%. The sharp swing correlated closely with the earlier abnormal selling, spurring widespread market debate over wash trades. From a trading structure standpoint, such massive short-term selling typically requires institutional capital and triggers clear liquidity shocks. Some traders note this looks more like **event-driven front-running**—where traders take short positions before major public disclosures to profit when news hits.
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