Trump: War Will Not Last Long, Oil Price Will Plummet After End

March 16 (Reuters) - Stress in the private credit market has spilled over to Wall Street, with major U.S. banks tightening lending to the sector and some funds imposing redemption restrictions. JPMorgan Chase has marked down the value of some loans to private credit funds and cut its lending exposure. Morgan Stanley limited redemptions for one of its private credit funds after investors sought to redeem nearly 11% of its shares. BlackRock’s flagship HLEND fund restricted further withdrawals after first-quarter redemption requests surged to $1.2 billion, hitting its 5% cap. Blackstone’s flagship BCRED fund saw a surge in first-quarter redemptions, with $3.7 billion pulled out — marking its first quarterly outflow. Blue Owl Capital sold $1.4 billion in assets and permanently halted redemptions for one of its funds. Oaktree’s flagship fund set a 7% repurchase limit in response to 14% in redemption requests. Market sentiment has been pressured by valuation concerns, transparency issu

On March 16, per Bitget data, U.S.-listed Ethereum mining leader Bitmine (BMNR) surged more than 11% intraday, last trading at $22.88.

On March 16, per Coindesk, T. Rowe Price has filed a second amendment for its actively managed cryptocurrency ETF, which will track a range of digital assets including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin and SHIB.

**March 16 Update** Greek researcher Adam (from Greeks.live) noted in a social media post that over 40% of open interest in end-of-month quarterly options is now concentrated. Individual $75,000 call contracts make up more than 5% — marking an unprecedented level of concentration, with all bets leaning on $75,000. Gamma Walls and Gamma Squeezes reflect a collective market consensus: either the entire market pushes in the same direction toward the target, or it triggers a large-scale breakdown.

**March 16 Data: Polymarket’s Market Share Rises to 55%, U.S. Political Volume Leads** Polymarket’s overall market share has climbed from around 40% to 55%, per March 16 figures. Daily average trading volume in its U.S. political market hit $28.17 million—far outpacing sports ($1.32 million) and crypto markets ($44,000). Since launch, the platform has generated $2.19 million in total fees, with average weekly revenue of $730,000. The platform has created 295,000 total markets, but just 505 “supermarkets” account for 47% of all historical trading volume; the top 10 most popular markets make up 57% of total volume. Meanwhile, 67.7% of markets have a lifespan under seven days, with 63% seeing zero trading volume within 24 hours of creation. Pricing includes an emotion premium: For example, in the “WTI Crude Oil Hits $100 by Month’s End” market, Polymarket’s pricing has consistently outpaced Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) options’ implied probability by 10–30 percentage points—

On March 16, LookIntoBitcoin data shows that the address bc1qfs has withdrawn 1,938 Bitcoin (valued at approximately $138.24 million) from Binance over the past six days.