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Citi Raises Oil Price Forecast Amid Iran Conflict Background

2026.03.12 22:11:43

March 12th – Citi Research has raised its Brent crude price forecasts: $75 per barrel for Q1, $78 for Q2, and $68 for Q3, up from prior projections of $73, $70, and $62, respectively. The firm noted oil prices may fluctuate in the $80-$100 per barrel range in the near term. In a report, analyst Eric Lee stated: “We believe neither the U.S. nor Iran wants the conflict to escalate further, as that would likely target regional energy infrastructure and Iran’s domestic public infrastructure. Thus, our base case is the situation will de-escalate shortly after the U.S. achieves its military objectives.” He added, however, that the risk of attacks on regional energy infrastructure remains elevated – a scenario that could trigger an oil shock akin to the 1970s. (Source: FX Street)
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