Preview: Market Focus on Tonight's US February Unemployment Rate and Nonfarm Payrolls Data, Institutional Preview
3 hours ago
**US February Labor Data (Unemployment Rate, NFP) Due Tonight at 21:30 UTC+8 (March 6)**
The U.S. February unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls (NFP) figures are set for release tonight at 21:30 UTC+8 (March 6). Below is a summary of forecasts from major institutions and the Reuters consensus:
### Unemployment Rate Forecasts
- High-Frequency Economics: +4.2%
- ING, ANZ, BNP Paribas, Barclays, Berenberg, Bank of America, Commerzbank, Danske Bank, DecaBank, HSBC, Mizuho, Moody’s Analytics, Deutsche Bank, Nomura, Oxford Economics, Societe Generale, Julius Baer, Credit Agricole, Daiwa, UBS, Morgan Stanley, Santander, Standard Chartered, Westpac: +4.3%
- ICBC, Capital Economics, Lloyd’s, Goldman Sachs, ING International, JPMorgan, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Citibank, RBC, SMBC, BNP Paribas (alternate), Credit Agricole (alternate), MUFG, UBS Group: +4.4%
- Reuters Expectation: +4.3%
### Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Forecasts (in thousands)
- High-Frequency Economics: -9K
- SMBC: +10K
- ING: +15K
- Morgan Stanley, Pantheon Macroeconomics: +25K
- Deutsche Bank, UBS Group: +30K
- Oxford Economics: +35K
- ICBC, HSBC: +40K
- Goldman Sachs, National Bank: +45K
- DecaBank, JPMorgan, Moody’s Analytics: +50K
- ANZ, Citibank, MUFG, Societe Generale: +55K
- Monex Group, Commerzbank, Santander: +60K
- BNP Paribas, Bank of America, Nomura: +65K
- Commerzbank, Danske Bank, ING International, Standard Chartered: +70K
- Julius Baer, Daiwa: +75K
- Capital Economics, UBS: +80K
- Nomura, Westpac: +85K
- Berenberg, Morgan Stanley: +90K
- Mizuho: +100K
- DBS Bank: +125K
- Reuters Expectation: +59K
*Source: FXSOL*
Relevant content
Binance Wallet: Token Airdrop Scheduled for Today at 18:00 UTC Postponed
On March 6th, official sources confirm that Binance Wallet has announced the postponement of today’s scheduled 6:00 PM token airdrop. Please stay tuned for the specific distribution timeline in future official announcements.
9 minutes ago
US-listed company Aurelion introduces its first AI employee, Duncan.Aure, who can directly participate in on-chain transaction execution
On March 6, Nasdaq-listed Aurelion (NASDAQ: AURE) announced the launch of Duncan.Aure, its first AI virtual employee.
Duncan is an AI agent capable of direct on-chain transaction execution, with core capabilities including cross-protocol DeFi execution, automated XAUT (Tether Gold) trading strategies, digital gold allocation, and open standardized interfaces for developers and applications.
Currently, Duncan is accessible via a dedicated website (xaue.com/shop) and official accounts on X and Telegram.
Aurelion CEO Bj?rn Schmidtke noted that as AI agents emerge as active market participants, the company is committed to building secure, stable smart financial infrastructure centered on digital gold.
9 minutes ago
Cumberland withdrew 14,800 ETH from Coinbase 30 minutes ago
March 6 — Cumberland withdrew another 14,800 ETH (valued at $30.8 million) from Coinbase just 30 minutes ago, per LookOnChain monitoring data.
9 minutes ago
On-chain WTI Crude Oil Futures Contract price experiences a temporary 3.7% surge, with the contract's largest long position enjoying a $700,000 unrealized gain.
On March 6, per Coinbob's Popular Address Monitor, the WTI Crude Oil synthetic asset on Hyperliquid briefly spiked above $84, notching a 3.7% gain.
The largest on-chain long whale for CL (the WTI Crude Oil synthetic asset) — address 0x3b1 — saw its unrealized profits swell to $700,000, with a 66% return rate. Its current position size is roughly $3.35 million, at an average entry price of $66.4.
9 minutes ago
Jane Street-affiliated wallet deposited 270 BTC to Bullish and LMAX Digital in the last 2 hours
March 6: LookOnChain analytics shows wallets linked to Jane Street have deposited 270 BTC (~$19M) into Bullish and LMAX Digital over the past two hours.
9 minutes ago
「Genesis Whale」 $14.7M ETH Long Position Flipped from Profit to Loss, Liquidation Price for this Round is $2024
March 6th — Per data from the **Coinbob Popular Address Monitor** (https://t.me/Coinbob_track_CN), Ethereum (ETH) traded slightly lower in pre-market hours.
Notably, the 25x leveraged ETH long position held by crypto trader “Buddy” Huang Licheng has swung from profitable to underwater. Key details:
- Current position size: ~$14.7 million
- Average entry price: $2070
- Floating losses: $160,000 (-27%)
- Liquidation price: $2024
- Margin call: Roughly 1.3% away from being triggered
Previously, the address had placed take-profit orders ranging from $2085 to $2202, targeting a partial close of a $2.32 million portion of the position. The account’s balance has since fallen from $860,000 to $450,000.
9 minutes ago